Umā¦Jacari? Seeing posts about his wrist.
Vibe check time.
How has the season gone relative to your expectations?
- Below expectations
- Meeting expectations
- Above expectations
And how many conference wins do you project?
-
14+
-
11-13
-
8-10
-
7 or less
I probably wouldāve guessed 1.5 as the O/U for losses in the noncon (not counting OSU). So I think we are mildly ahead of schedule.
However the noncon was even worse than me, a pessimist, feared it would be, so Iām still curious to see whether we are more like an 8/9 seed or a 4/5 seed.
As long as I am airing grievances (on the appropriate day), I really donāt like our conference schedule either. We only play the top 3 teams once, and only one of those three is at home. Makes it hard to grab a marquee win, unless NCSU or Miami really pick it up.
Watching the 2014 ACC Championship Game since thereās no sports on and geez I did not realize how recently the style was for the shorts to be long and baggy
Good question⦠![]()
https://twitter.com/jusanderson1/status/2003937898916401356?s=46&t=vkjgQUekzGC7z44tIfnIRQ
In looking at the conference, I see these tiers now, a mix of resume, performance, and expectations, with the 1st taking on more and more importance and #3 less and less.
Tier 1: (Final Four Favorite, National Title Contender) Duke. I still think Duke is by far the best team in the league. They arent unbeatable and will probalby lose a couple in league play, but an obviously national title contender.
Tier 2: (Final Four contender)UNC, Louisville. I think UNC is for real this season. 3 Q1 wins already and they look the part. UL with out Brown is just a good team with him fully healthy a top 10 team. I think these two teams have a great shot to be a top 4 seed in the NCAAT.
Tier 3: (Solid NCAAT team) UVA, Clemson, NC Sate. Sure State has 4 losses, but the NC SOS is good at 77 and they do have a Q1 win and 2 Q2 wins and no bad losses, same as us. Clemson seems feisty enough this year to do what it takes to get in. I think these teams end up somewhere between the 4/5 seed line and 8/9 seed line depending on how conference play, plays out.
Tier 4 (Legitimate NCAAT aspirations): California, Miami, Virginia Tech, SMU. All these teams have done enough out of conference to be in the running for an at-large bid if they have a good conference performance Cal is the surprise but is still a bit of an unknown, 10 of their 12 games have been Q3/Q4. Miami I think is good enough to be in this group, but lost their two Q1 opportunities, VT picked up 4 Q2 wins which is good and avoided bad losses. But they have no Q1 wins, they will need a couple/few Q1s in league play. SMU has pretty good metrics and both their losses are in Q1, but they have no Q1 wins, but like VT they have 4 Q2 wins.
Tier 5 (Probably Bubble at best but not completely dead yet if they get hot). Stanford, Wake Forest, Notre Dame, Syracuse. These 4 teams enter league play with some reason for optimism, but also warts and injuries. Stanford has played above expectations and Kyle Smith is a wiz. They have a Q1 and Q2 win, but also a Q3 and Q4 loss. If they could have avoided the bad losses or even one of them, they would not be in bad shape. The real question is do they have enough talent to do what it takes in league play. Wake looked the part of a NCAAT contender early, but have been getting blown out lately by good teams. Still No bad losses and a Q2 win with ok metrics, means they arent dead yet. But they have to turn it around quick. Notre Dame is very unlucky with Burton getting hurt. If he stayed healthy they could have made a legit run at a bid, at this point hard to see that. Cuse have also struggled with injuries. The Q1 win over Tennessee is nice, but the Q3 loss at home to Hofstra hurt. They have a lot of work to do in league play.
Tier 6 (Better luck next year): FSU, GT, Pitt, BC. Pitt at least looks fiesty and will probably pull a few upsets in league play. I never thought the Loucks hire was good for FSU. GT and BC will likely be looking for a new coach next year.
Va Tech doesnāt have any bad losses although 18 point VCU loss not great. They also donāt have any good wins - best win is neutral floor 2 pt win against Colorado State. And then a lot of close calls against bad teams. Sorta feel at best theyāre Tier 5, but keep seeing folks put them in the picture.
Right now they have 4 Q2 wins and no bad losses. Metrics are ok, if the season ended today, of course it doesnt, they would probably be in, but at the bottom of the bracket.
Think Iād have Miami up a tier and could maybe trick myself into having us up a tier or in a tier 2.5, but otherwise agree here.
Miami definitely has that potential. Metrics are pretty good. Resume is just bleh as of now, lost both their Q1 games, won a Q2 game, no bad losses, rest of the wins Q3/Q4. I guess I need to see a little more from them but they very well could.
Of course in once we are 4/5 games into conf play, we will have a better idea about all these teams.
I think about Miami and VT kinda similarly in that while their resumes so far are fine (+0.7 and +0.8 WAB on T-Rank respectively), the way they got there in terms of efficiency makes me more optimistic for Miami than VT.
I wouldnāt be surprised at any finish among the teams that are 3-9 right now.
If nothing else, I really like being perceived as a threat in basketball again.
Neither of our guys on the latest CBSSports big boad (top 60)
NBA Draft Big Board: AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer closer to No. 1 Darryn Peterson - CBS Sports
Just a PSA⦠you can see the upcoming Menās basketball schedule clicking on the Upcoming Events link⦠and if there is a game missing, let me know as that means I forgot to make an upcoming thread for it. ![]()
2 posts were merged into an existing topic:
2025-26 In-Season ACC Thread
This guy has Grünloh at #22
https://twitter.com/draftpow/status/2005363366890815942?s=46
Excited for ACC play and see how these guys perform. They were humbled against Butler and so we will see if theyāve learned to deal with the physicality since then.
Cofie is #32! Fortunately we have TDR. Also I have no idea who this guy is, so who knows.
