So a guy who predicted us to win 8-10 ACC games is now demanding high expectations?

I promised myself I would never bitch, complain, whine, or worry about UVa basketball after this and honestly, no one on this board really should - become a Duke fan instead
. I wasnât sold on Odom or his approach to the roster at the beginning of the year, but DAMN 27-4 is an amazing accomplishment. We won some tough games that maybe we should have lost, but we didnât and we could just as easily be 30-1. I hope we win the ACC, I hope we advance into the second weekend, but by any measurement, this has been a home run season.
This is the correct way to think about this.
Tony battled UVA demons far older and larger than any one coach. Itâs tremendous that he overcame them in the postseason and outperformed his seed exactly once. He is UVA royalty for having done so; winning one title here is like winning three at another university.
Odom will fight the exact same demons. Iâm excited to see what happens.
How so?
Being hyperbolic to make the point that bad things have tended to happen to us at the worst possible moment in the most embarrassing possible way. Overcoming that is a feat.
Which year did he outperform his seed? Are you counting winning the championship in 2019 as outperforming a 1 seed?
Yup exactly. A final four corresponds to performing to your seed as a 1 seed.
Absolutely â weâre werenât the overall No. 1 seed (that was Duke). And no one finished ahead of us when the final second ticked down in Minneapolis.
winning a title is outperforming a 1 seed. expected wins for a 1 seed is like 3.5.
This may be fair if it was a fully returning roster. But a roster full of a almost completely new team, none of which has played together, even with the best roster in the country itâs a crapshoot if they gel together. To each their own, but this year is an unmitigated success in my eyes
Nice visual from EvanMiya on rotation depth: https://www.reddit.com/r/CollegeBasketball/s/7ryC8Ku0Fr
I kinda feel like thatâs a bad use of visuals. It seems like what heâs measuring is how far apart your best and worst players are? But is that really the same thing as depth?
I view depth more as 2 of everything, whereas this is how flat your roster is? Iâm confused (what else is newâŚ)
I guarantee you that every team has two of everything. The question is whether your No. 2 is any good.
Interesting that Virginiaâs most impactful player is a bench player and the least is a starter, though.
Right, youâd have to somehow mix in amount of PT to really show depth.
I thought you were gonna follow this with (because this is my complaint), they should have rank ordered this according the metric theyâre tracking (the difference between best and worst players). This is just a jumble.
I disagree that itâs useless. I think because heâs plotting the difference between 1st and 8th most effective on each team, itâs actually a useful chart for showing depth.
now we could argue about the cut off at 8 but I think itâs reasonable given that most coaches donât play more than 8 guys.
Agree, I think the best possible depth metric, per this analysis, would be a very short line, towards the top. But that wouldnât sing out in any way, visually
This is a very nice story. Do I have some follow up questions? Yes, of course I do. But thatâs not the point. Donât ruin a nice story.
What follow-up questions could you have that would ruin the story? Makes perfect sense Ugo would want some home cooking living abroad. I lived in the Balkans for just a year and I craved a good burger more than you could imagine for MONTHS.
