Syracuse vs Notre Dame …
Score was Cuse 70-69 with 8.9 seconds left and the final score was 77-69.
Amazing.
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Probably my top choice of any realistic one for our next coach.
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ACCT Bubble Watch
Syracuse winning yesterday over ND was very bad for us. Cal winning over NC State was mildly bad.
We are now on the wrong side of the bubble.
VT, Miami, BC, GT losing were all good. The projected win totals have converged with 11th-16th separated by only 1.19 projected wins.
Our most important stretch for ACCT Bubble Watch is the next four. We play three bubblers, and ND could join the list if it loses its next two: BC (77%), ND (50%), @Miami (50%), VT (68%)
Current projected ACC wins (Torvik), bottom 3 miss out:
Virginia Tech 7.22 (home 2/1, away 2/15), -0.68 expected wins after loss to Wake
NC State 7.11 (UVA holds H2H tiebreak), -1.05 expected wins after loss to Cal
Georgia Tech 6.93 (host 2/8), -0.25 expected wins after loss at FSU
Syracuse 6.92 (away 3/8), +0.66 expected wins after win over ND
Cal 6.81 (holds H2H tiebreak over UVA), +0.9 expected wins after win at NC St
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UVA 6.03, +0.02 expected wins after loss at Lousiville
BC 3.91 (home Tues), -0.01 expected wins after loss to Duke
Miami 3.3 (away 1/29) -0.8 expected wins after SMU spanking
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The loss was so devastating that it cost NC State more than 1 expected win.
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Probably they were expected to get 0.7 wins in the game or so, and their underperformance reduced future win probabilities by 0.35. Or something to thag effect.
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