After getting my butt taken to the cleaners last week going 2-3, I am sheepishly poking my head back out of my hole and attempting to get back on the horse. Why? Because you miss 100% of the shots you never take, and Daddy needs a new pair of shoes.
Cincinnati vs. UCF OVER 65.5: As much as it pains me to admit the Bearcats have been my golden ticket so far this season, give me two covers and an over in the last three weeks. You better believe I’m going to the well one more time before it runs dry. I don’t like the spread on this one as I think UC is due for a let down, but I believe if they do falter it will be as part of a back and forth affair with another team (UCF) that’s more than capable of keeping pace. Total over 65.5
Oklahoma -7 vs. Oklahoma State: This has to go down as the quietest Bedlam ever. The Sooners have underachieved, and while the Cowboys have been good, they lack the star power (sorry Chubba) and the national storyline after suffering a loss to Texas. The Sooners have looked awful in places this season, but their offense always seems to travel. It’s also been firing on all cylinders the last three games scoring over 40 points per. They are in Norman, which doesn’t mean as much in the crowd restricted COVID era, but it’s enough to get them over the hump. Sooners -7.
Kentucky +33.5 vs. Bama: When I first started picking games I made a living feasting on covers from massive road dogs. I have not been as bullish with those picks this season, but this seems like a prime spot to return to that philosophy. Bama is likely looking ahead to Auburn and the Iron Bowl next week. That game is always marked on their schedule and this year will be no different with them eyeing another run at the CFP. Kentucky has a solid defense but no offense of note. Look for the Crimson Tide to put this one out of reach early, and as the players begin to lose interest, Saban will take his foot off the gas allowing for a smooth backdoor cover. Kentucky +33.5
Wisconsin -7.5 v. Northwestern: The BIG bludgeoned me last leaving me 0-3. One of those teams costing me some cash was Northwestern. So as part of my revenge tour, I’m picking against them here. The Badgers have had trouble getting on the field thanks to COVID. When they have played football they’ve looked very good. Northwestern is about as soft of a 4-0 team as you’ll find, with wins against underwhelming BIG teams. It’s time for them to be put into their place. Wisconsin -7.5