Iām generally optimistic and happy just for our guys to be playing another game, but we need some pessimism in here. You guys are makin me nervous with all this confidence.
11 Likes
I have 0 confidence in UVa team to beat anyone, if that makes you feel better
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Would like to see us increase our 3pa% (3-pointers attempted ratio). We have several elite 3-point options, but more-importantly we donāt shoot well close to the rim and obviously donāt make free throws. CSU is 191 in the country guarding 3-pointers, but 96 against 2-pointers.
Play to your talents, especially when this particular skill-based style is what many bracket busters have historically benefitted from.
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If thereās one single thing thatās bugged me more than anything else about this team, itās that we continue to hunt for and hoist up mid range jumper after mid range jumper despite being horrible at shooting them.
Weāre not gonna be great offensively, but we might as well be looking to do something weāre at least decent at which is shoot 3ās. Iām much more content having a bad offensive performance that way.
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I would too but our biggest problem has been not converting the 2ās - just making 2-3 more a game would completely change the offense.
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I felt like this has improved the last 3-4 games, but maybe just a function of opponent.
At least on the face of it, weāve been running some different stuff outside of B/M to generate better 3 point looks. Thereās always a few āJUST SHOOT IT JAKEā moments, even in NC State, but on balance has felt like itās improving since the UNC game. Duke doesnāt count because it was total mental collapse mode.
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This, too. I recently re-watched some games from past non-elite Virginia teams the last few years, and it was so obvious how better they were at finishing gimme 2 pointers. Not just around the rim, but decent enough short midrange and floaters.
Yeah, Gardner was so good at midrange. Buchanan, Minor and Dunn just are not great finishers or shooters.
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Taine is quick to pull the trigger, so his minutes are helping in this regard. Isaac has gotten more aggressive about threes recently. Jake needs to do the same. (And not try to dunk it lol)
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Reece and Dunn are very good at taking and making close 2s, including dunks. Minor decent, too. But thatās it. Nobody else in that 8-9 man rotation is really even trying, really. Reece is probably our best guard at it in a while, and Dunn is better than anyone last year (didnāt look at prior years). But the major difference is we had a few more guys last year who could do it in a pinch - BVP, Kadin, Armaan. None of Dante, Groves, iMac, Rohde or Taine can do it (or try to do it).
I donāt know what to make of the lack of 3s even though we have 2 guys who are very good at it thing. Iāve watched this team enough to know ājust take moreā isnāt exactly the answer. I am pretty mixed between it being a personnel issue and a system issue and an inflexibility issue. All three contribute but personnel is probably the biggest. Now could we have done some different things given the personnel constraints ? The answer lies in each of our hearts and I canāt answer that for you.
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Only good things for these guys!!! Play with joy!!
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Mckneely and Groves havenāt even taken enough threes to qualify for statistical measures.
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imac?!? wut?
We do the same with FTs but we do try avoid shooting them.
Actually not sure of threshold (or if it is based on total or avg per game), but mckneely has attempted 176 averaged 5.5, but does not appear on rankings.
To this point:
https://x.com/shot_quality/status/1769791691840491735?s=46&t=Oq1o9Lj5xcGP5w9DqDSUJg
Third worst shotmaking ability in the field, also very poor shot selection. Doesnāt really scream March run to me, but hopefully weāll get the good version of the team tomorrow
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Randolph Childress on field of 68 predicted that UVA wins their first 2 games, Dauster and Goodman did not agree
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I think I heard the ncaa stats require 6 per game. But that was on Brad Franklin pod. Not sure if accurate
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Just look at the shot selection chart that was posted earlier and compare ours to a team like UConn who is elite offensively. Theyāre either right around the rim or at the three point line, and weāre hovering a ton in the mid range and foul line.
Sure some of it is absolutely personnel, but also part of it is making a point to say āWeāre gonna take shots that the numbers say are more efficient than othersā and having a scheme that generates those shots. We donāt have to go fully to being entirely based on analytics but also we need to abandon this philosophy that we can win at a high level by taking a shit ton of low percentage 2ās.
3 Likes