And watch out for Columbus Tech SW state that plays in the WAVAAC (which is better than the ACC apparently), they just beat a top 25 team so their net is like 5, which will take an ACC bid so itâs Carolina and Duke and whoever wins the ACC.
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The crazy thing is a close loss for state might actually help them Saturday, they play at wake. I mean getting Wâs is probably better but if you lose and gain a Q1 win from earlier in the year because of it is it really that bad?
My head hurts.
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LOL this is awesome!
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I donât know if the ACC goes through Armando Bacot, but PJ Hall certainly went through him, around him, and over him.
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Mine too and Iâm still confused.
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I hope we have signs that say that it goes through Charlottesville (which is true over the last 10+ years) when they come to JPJ.
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Great idea. Add it to the UNC game thread and @DFresh11 aill will make it happen
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I donât see VT coming close at all. StateâŚmaybe.
Feels like a 5 bud league
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I just think itâs better to not have bad losses than it is to have big wins⌠as much as I donât like tech they have 2 Q1 wins and 0 Q3/4 losses. State kinda the same argument if us and wake get into top 30. Long way to go weâll see how it shakes out but if they can keep these types of resumes I wouldnât be shocked to see one of the two as last four in.
5 bids will probably be right though, lots of games left to be played.
VT has a very favorable scheduleâŚsets up well for them to have a good shot at a tourney bid. They already have 2 solid Q1 wins. And theyâve won at NC State, which probably ends up another. They still have home games vs UVA and Wake, either could climb into Q1 territory. And a road game at Pitt, another winnable Q1. 2 games left vs ND, 1 with Lou. They could easily get to 12-8 with 4-5 Q1s without even pulling off an upset.
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After last nightâs games, Virginia has the best defense in the ACC on both KenPom and Barttorvik.
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Up to #32, close. Manifesting the Wake home game becoming a Q1 game. Though, that then means the game is gonna be more difficult because theyâre playing better.
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Wait. #32 is not a Q1 win, right? Or are you saying they should be top 30 by the time we play them?
I donât know why I do this, but F68âs Rob Dauster on Clemsonâs win:
'So, what is Clemsonâs ceiling? Because we have seen them win big games, and we have seen them have duds like the Virginia game most obviously."
Apparently, they just had a dud game, and our defense had absolutely nothing to do with it.
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Yeah, home Q1 games are 1-30; Iâm hoping Wake gets there before our game against them.
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Five would seem about right. I think the top half of the league is good. If the right teams got hot this month I would even argue for 6. The trouble has been avoiding bad losses.
Right now UNC and Duke are locked in. Us and Clemson seem in good shape. Then I think if they avoid bad losses one or two of Wake, NC State, VT, Miami (in that order).
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The last group of 4 all need Q1 wins. Wake is the only one of them that is currently discussed as being on the bubble, not because they have the wins already, but because they are playing well enough and have enough opportunities that they are more likely to get some. But even they cannot go 0-for in Q1 games and get in.
Edit: I just saw the Athleticâs Bubble Watch, and they had VT in the discussion too. But same general point holds, they all need to do a little more than beat who they are supposed to.
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Current ACC NET picture:
| A | Home | Neutral | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quadrant 1: | 1-30 | 1-50 | 1-75 |
| Quadrant 2: | 31-75 | 51-100 | 76-135 |
| Quadrant 3: | 76-160 | 101-200 | 136-240 |
| Quadrant 4: | 161-353 | 201-353 | 241-353 |
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Some random Quadrant rooting interests:
Would like NC State to finish better than 75 (currently 78) to make our road loss there Q1 rather than Q2.
Looking unlikely ND makes a late push for the 135 threshold to make our loss there Q2.
Our GT road win is in danger of becoming Q3 as they backslide.
As others have pointed out, Wakeâs surge could make our home game Q1 if they finish Top 30.
Florida Stateâs recent slide makes it unlikely our road game there finishes any better than a Q2.
Right now Duke, UNC, Clemson, and Wake would all count as Q1 opponents in the ACCT, with VT in striking distances of being another.
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Florida State at 94 indicates we really should avoid a loss on Saturday. I know it would be a Q2 loss, but I would hate to see us slip up with a team with their ranking.
Watching them last night all I could think of was, âMy gosh they are tall! And long!â I hope that doesnât bother us too much.
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