🏀 ACC Men's Basketball - Week 7: 15-21 December 2025

Either stay or be the center of the offense. Lville doesn’t fit him athletically.

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Dayton up 21 on FSU.

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Pat Kelsey fraud watch.

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UL didn’t have Mikel Brown which is huge for them, but even then looking as bad as they have isn’t a great sign.

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Hadn’t realize how little Khalifa and Pryor have given them this season. Not fully healthy? Or just hard to come back from the injured they had as good as they were before?

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FT%s in the UT vs Louisville game - 64% & 61% respectively… why can’t anyone shoot FTs?

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Louisville had 8 assists on 22 FG. I checked because, as I was watching, it seemed like they weren’t running any offense…because they weren’t.

Edit: I’m sure no Brown mattered just a smidgeon here.

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UT just swarmed the perimeter and played physical on the drives. Cards were a one trick pony and the trick was taken away.

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Speaking of poor ft shooting, Carter Welling was 5-13 from the stripe last night.

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What do one year post grad paid transfers do during exam break? Is this like the NBA All-Star break?

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So I looked up if there is a downtrend in FT% across men’s college basketball in the last 20 years… and surprisingly there has actually been an uptick. The mean across the last 20 years has been hovering around 70% with most years in the 69% range and an anomaly year of 72% in 2022.

I just always assumed the overall percentage would’ve been closer to 75% or higher… I guess when teams are at 80% collectively, they are elite at FT%?

Who knew?

Caught some LOU - TN highlights last night and it seemed like every TN possession McKneely was getting destroyed on defense.

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I remember him getting picked on in the Kentucky game too. When I saw the score this morning I figured someone had to have gotten injured.

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Further adventures in “Kenpom has brain poisoned everyone into thinking that 3 point percentage is some sort of independent variable”. This is from the Field of 68 newsletter.

Louisville played without star freshman Mikel Brown Jr., who missed the game due to a nagging back issue. But it looked like Louisville would’ve struggled with or without him. Ryan Conwell and Isaac McKneely went a combined 5-for-20 from 3, and they’re both shooting over 40% from deep.

Gee, I wonder if Brown’s absence had anything to do with the quality of looks everyone was getting… Nah…

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McKneely is probably best suited in the Jacari White role as flame thrower coming off the bench. Outside of that he’s a pretty limited player.

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But White did something in his 10th game that McKneely never did in 100 games in a UVa uni: dunk the ball.

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Rough night for the ACC generally.

Duke didn’t get a double digit lead against Lipscomb until 10 min left, Louisville blown out, FSU blown out, Miami and GT only pulled away late vs FIU and Marist, Clemson let SC play closer than they should have. Not great for the analytical metrics.

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But that Dayton win is going to look nice! They are legit

Yeah I think Dayton is the best team we’ve played so far.

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With the noncon mostly locked down, ACC is pretty securely in 4th place, thanking the Lord that the Big East is bad this year.

In non-metric / vibes-based analysis, I think it helps that us, UNC, and Louisville are in that top 25 (or higher) convo, along with Duke. And I’m not counting NCSU out quite yet.

It’s still early, but I will say, I didn’t think Duke would be natty caliber good, and it seems they should be.

I’m not really loving the fact that we only play the very top ACC teams only once. Forget metrics or whatever, it just makes for a worse schedule.

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