🫧 Bubble Watch

Well other than those of us that check Torvik. Was always clearly possible according to T-ranketology

He would like that too much.

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Tough road for Pitt now only one quality win chance left before the ACC tournament and they are probably 9-12 teams out now. Really needed a win last night. Probably have to win out and pick up 2 quality wins at ACC tournament, but as I have said before the committee seems to value those cinderella runs by teams outside the first four out less.

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He’s going to be a pain in the ass to play against for the next 3 years.

Reminds me of a young Sean Singletary

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Yes!

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This dude has a lot of sneaky illegal stuff like Chris Paul in his game and he gets away with most of it at the college level because the officials at the college level just aren’t trained to see it all. Lots of holding with his off arm to gain advantages off the dribble.

Goodnight you guys!

https://x.com/jtuckermartin/status/1763055754225828051?s=20

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Providence lost too!

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So far bubble looks really clean in our favor. Focus I guess turns to Saturday where life can become really simple with a win.

Pitt @ Clemson (Lost), @ BC
NC State @ FSU (Lost), @ UNC
Gonzaga @ SF, @ StM’s
Nevada @ CSU (Won - incredible 3/4 court shot), vs Fresno
Seton Hall @ Creighton (Lost), @ UConn
Providence @ Marquette (Lost), vs Nova
Texas A&M vs SC (Lost), @ Georgia
Ole Miss vs (Lost), @ Missouri
Cincy @ Houston (Lost), vs Kansas State

Plenty of other notable losses as well but these were just the teams I felt had really good resume building opportunities. Some still do but going 2-0 this week would have been huge for some of these teams.

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I think a win in either game gets us in. 0-2 and we probably have to make the ACCT final.

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It’s been general consensus that win against GT makes us a lock so I’m interested to see when Lunardi/DSPN start to flip the narrative and warn that we have work to do in the ACCT and need a ā€œsignatureā€ win. Guessing it’ll happen post GT and the narrative will center around the ACC only being allowed to have 4 teams in the tournament for whatever reason and that Wake is ahead of us in the pecking order. I just know it’s not going to be as easy beat GT and make the tournament (assuming we don’t lose by 30+ to Duke and first ACCT game which is possible)

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I don’t think espn has a conspiracy against the ACC nor Virginia. We’ve provided them great content

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I just don’t see any way we’re out if we beat GT. This morning we’re #46, but don’t have any Q3 or Q4 losses. We beat GT and I’m pretty confident we’re even out of the Dayton discussion.

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https://x.com/jbrbracketology/status/1762852822956015811?s=46

Interesting thought this morning. Haven’t seen too much talk about Syracuse getting in but seems they may have a better chance than people realize

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Confused Kevin Hart GIF

Cuse is in the post season conversation? I left them for dead when IMac lit them up in December.

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How many teams have gotten in with a net in the 70s?

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I looked at these rankings (I think, not really sure if I’m checking the same things) and it looks like we’re 32nd in both. So another data point that would seem to indicate that we should be an absolute lock with a win against GT unless we lose by about 50 to Duke and in our first ACCT game. Wake is the team that should be worried, these metrics indicate that Cuse should be in over them

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I think from a precedent standpoint we should be a lock with a GT win. Issue is just ā€˜losing every game by double digits’ jumps out to the actual humans making decisions. For that reason, I wouldn’t be surprised if the committee splits the difference and send us to Dayton (assuming we do the expected and lose to Duke by 10+ then beat GT). Sort of a ā€˜the numbers tell us we have to include UVA but we really don’t think they are good enough’ sort of thing

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There are some interesting stress tests for the committee with teams that have big resume/quality (I.e results vs predictive) splits in different directions.

Gonzaga, Wake (better resume now), Villanova as the bad resume/good quality metrics teams.

Ole Miss, Cuse, us, Seton Hall as good resume/bad quality metrics teams.

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