I donât get why people expect us to outperform the Bracket Matrix consensus. Iâd say itâs the absolute best guess and we are equally like to over- or under-perform it. I think thatâs what its history very clearly shows.
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Random thought - Thank god we eked out the win vs Northeastern back in December. Our resume really doesnât give the committee much reason to keep us out with no bad losses and pretty good Q1/Q2 results and solid SOR. The âeye testâ hurts us if thatâs a thing. If we would have lost to Northeastern then thatâs what they would cling to if we didnât make it.
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Hate to do it but Iâm rooting for UNC tonight.
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Rush posted this above. Another good rule of thumb is to root for all the overdogs.
Life on the bubble means rooting against chaos that doesnât benefit you personally
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I agree. I think our resume should have us safely in the 10 seed group but the consensus is clear that we are 2nd/3rd to last team in and many behind us have chances to pick up better wins than us today.
I think we might be in a weird spot where we could be safe for inclusion but guaranteed for a lower seed due to our difference in resume and quality metrics. If they do the âselect by resume but seed by qualityâ thing we could already be locked in but only have lower 10 seed upside. And I think thatâs a confusing thing for bracketologists to handle during the chaos of champ week so we just get lumped in with the game to game âmovementâ conversation with teams with more traditional resumes even though we are kinda outside of that when you zoom out
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I also hope we win tonight so I can root for Princetons at large hopes tomorrow and Sunday (win tomorrow / close loss Sunday).
@DFresh11 you ever been to Columbias gym?
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Rocco Miller, whoâs the best of the Field of 68 guys based on Bracket Matrix rankings, thinks weâre a lock. He has 7 teams fighting for the last 4 spots and weâre not among that group and on his 10 line.
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Iâm sure the answer is in this thread somewhere, but can someone explain to me why Michigan State is safely in, but UVa is on the bubble?
MSU is 19-13, Q1 is 3-8 (about to be 3-9), Q2 is 6-5
UVa is 23-9, Q1 is 2-6, Q2 is 8-3
Is it just the fact that after today they will have played four more Q1 games?
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St. Johnâs lost to Michigan and BC yet are not on the bubble wtf?
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Much better NET Kenpom and BPI. We are stronger in the resume stuff but their relative strength in those is much better
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I just think the simple answer to a lot of these questions is that we were blown out in 7 of our 9 losses
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St Johnâs is very much on the bubble. Theyâre probably directly ahead of or behind us.
Destroyed, embarrassed, obliterated. Letâs hope the committee just saw the scores and didnât see the games.
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And the other two âcloseâ losses were both double digits! (10 and 11)
We are really quite a natural experiment for the committee
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15-4 MS St over Tenn. b2b pick-2s for MSSU
Cmon Tennessee good lord
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Tennessee looks terrible lol. Literally passing up open 3s to turn it over.hopefully they settle in.