🫧 Bubble Watch

ACC and PAC-12 having the same number of bids would be so effed up.

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A&M getting in over us would be very grating, given their 14 total and 4 (apparently it’s actually 5!!!) Quad 3 losses & our head to head result. Obviously they have good wins, but that’s a lot of losses – several quite terrible too.

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Where are they?

historic Hinkle Fieldhouse

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Just think of the. As 1 conference

Ugh, rim height isn’t even trustworthy. Gotta measure em

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So 0 chance I’ll go there even if the Hoos make it

Five Quad 3 losses — and we beat them by double-digits!

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Just hoping the committee considers this fact. I know they’ve had some big wins, but you gotta consider the bad losses and then head to head! Cmon!

Yes, they think we might win a game, and God bless them for their optimism. If we do make it, I too will root for us to win every game. I just don’t see it happening, and I think the damage of yet another early exit is worse than controversially missing out.

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Ya, it is baffling. How can ANY team get into the tourney with 5 Q3 losses? That’s insane. I guess they pass the ever-objective Eye Test.

Because the ACC president sucks ass and SEC’s is an 800-lb gorilla, I’m sure Sankey is in everyone’s ears that UVa’s two SEC wins should be discounted because Pullin and Radford didn’t play.

He’s far savvier in this gsme that our gentleman in Charlotte.

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If we don’t get in I only want to see us in the NIT if Eli gets a lot of playing time. I’m ready to see this young man get comfortable with playing and see the sparks of athleticism that are going to make him a star at UVA.

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The correct answer is #5, although I also was unaware that the NIT final four no longer plays in MSG.

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Hey, this bracketologist has us in, playing Michigan State at Dayton I guess. Sure, I’d take it.

https://x.com/NoviceOpinion/status/1769479237117837582?s=20

For all we know, it’s possible Virginia has been off the bubble for weeks (or even beginning at some point during the 9/10 ACC games streak). Perhaps none of these dominos are dominos that were ever going to affect UVA. We have no clue what thoughts/discussions the committee had at any point. It’s possible the committee (who don’t just start seeing metrics and games during postseason play) knows our ā€œadvanced statsā€ are skewed solely based on losses by 15 pts, all to quality opponents, rather than let’s say, 8 pts. Otherwise, Virginia has a top 25 resume, including 3rd place in the ACC.

Historically mid-majors pretty consistently account for roughly 20% of at-large bids. Postseason conference tournaments largely exist as a means for mid-majors attempts to steal bids from high-major conference teams. In the mid-70s, two conferences had tournaments, but within 2-3 years of the one-team-per-conference policy being redacted, that number increased to 30 or so. The strategy, however has never fooled the committee, and I see no reason why this year would be an exception. 5 conference tourney wins by 200+ teams is not a first, and I would be shocked if three ACC ā€œbubbleā€ teams are punished for this.

I’m predicting we will see more mid-major bubbles pop tonight than everyone is predicting. Perhaps I am overly-optimistic, but this team missing the tourney because we lost a few by too many points to quality opponents and didn’t win the conference tournament seems overtly negligent. We shall soon see…

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Doesn’t NIT seed by NET? Will we even be a top 2 seed with that?

I’m getting drunk regardless

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Do they preview the brackets with count of schools by conference? If they did that, look for ACC getting 5 in. If it’s only 4, we’d know our fate immediately.

We’ll be a 1 seed