Last Week 5-4
Overall 29-19
Last week was a bit of a rushed week with my travels and birthday celebrations but that didn’t stop the money train from rolling. 5-4 on the weekend thanks to the the hook with the Hoos. I’m not 4-1 on Virginia games this season crazy at least there’s a small silver lining to this season. Fire up the pottery wheel and call Whoopie Goldberg cause these picks are a bout to be ghost.
Cal +9.5 vs. Oregon State
The Pac 12 has been a bit of a gold mine for me this year and I’m dipping back into those waters again this weekend. Cal has a solid defense under Justin Wilcox and his teams seem to thrive as a dog. Oregon State pulled the upset/not upset last weekend and I think they have a letdown this week. Plus D.J. Uiagalelei, is who we thought he was, four interceptions in the last three weeks and a 50% completion rate of his passes in that span. Not good.
Cal +9.5
Oklahoma +5.5 vs. Texas
I love this rivalry it just does it for me. Maybe that 9 months I lived in Oklahoma have left a lasting impression on me. The Longhorns are desperate to show the world they are back. The Sooners are revamping after a slightly down season. It’s not surprising that the Oklahoma defense is much improved and holding opponents to 10ppg, the catch is they’ve only played two P5 teams in that span. OU has covered six consecutive games dating back to last season and keep the trend going here. Jump on this line soon because it’s hammering down.
Oklahoma +5.5
Boston College +3 vs. Army
I’m jumping on the Golden Eagle’s bandwagon. They have found their own version of AC in quarterback Thomas Castellanos. The young QB has completed 58% of his passes and tossed 10 TDs against 4picks. Most importantly he’s put a spark in the BC offense that led a comeback against the Hoos last week and is putting up points at the very least. In addition Army is modernizing their offense and allowing a few more possessions a game as a result.
Boston College +3
UGA -14.5 vs. Kentucky Over 47.5
The Bulldogs have not covered a game all season. They’ve been all over the media the past week with people asking questions about “Is Georgia okay?” “Do the Dawgs have what it takes?” The answers are yes and yes. Georgia has lost a ton of talent over the last two seasons (10 players to the NFL last year). It’s taken some time for the team to gel and break in a new QB. Saturday night they go between the Hedges for a big SEC East matchup against a very talented UK team. The Wildcats are thumping SEC teams and finding their groove and ready to toss their hat into the race for SEC Champions. However, this is not a good spot for them. UGa is the modern day masters of physical control the line football, you’re not out Georgia 'ing Georgia in Athens.
Dawgs -14.5 Over 47.5
Marshall +6.5 vs. NC States
The Brennan Armstrong experiment is over in Raleigh and with it, likely the roller coaster career of the QB. Enter MJ Morris to lead the Wolfpac and salvage a season that had high expectations. If Morris an engineer more than 24 points he’ll be onto something. Rasheen Ali has been a menace for the Thundering Heard he ran for two TD’s last week against ODU. As a Hoo fan I can’t help but keep an eye on Marshall and the success of Charles Huff on the sidelines. I think this is a great opportunity for Marshall to claim their second ACC pelt this season.
Marshall +6.5
Florida State vs. Virginia Tech Over 53
The last time we saw the Nole’s they earned a hard fought win over Clemson in Death Valley. They’ve had a week off to focus and build for the home stretch of their season. that begins with Va Tech coming to down for a noon kickoff. The Hokies offense exploded for 31 points last week and picked up their first victory in a month against a woeful Pitt team. The spread is 24.5 on this one and if pushed, I expect FSU to cover. More importantly I really like the FSU offense and their ability to score points. That receiving group will have advantages all over the field and Mike Norvell has proven he will not pull the dogs off once they get rolling.
Over 53
Missouri vs. LSU Over 65
I’m sweating already thinking about this one, 65 is a big number. But I just can’t quite it. The LSU defense is awful, 121 in points per drive 120 in passing success rate. Those are horrible numbers. Columbia is not typically what you think of as a hotbed of college football but the Tigers are balling this year. Quarterback Brady Cook has tossed 11 TDs and 0 picks on the year. The Tigers are averaging 29ppg. Their offense clicks and they have a legit rushing attack to compliment their passing game. I predict a track meet in this one.
Over 65
Virginia vs. W&M - No line
Umm… I’ve done no research on this one. Perhaps the most depressing stat for me is if the Hoos lose it won’t even be the first lost to W&M in my lifetime… why do I do this? On a positive I’m slowing starting to believe their is something special about Virginia team, yes I’m insane, 10 concussions may be talking now. take away Maryland and Tennessee the Hoos have been competitive in every game this season, and even in those games they were capable of putting up solid halves before the depth issues took over. This Virginia team has all the markings of a program that just does not know how to win. It’s cliche but I’ve seen it so many times. When the belief and the culture are not there, the little niggles become big issues almost instantly. At some point the tide will turn. Give me the Hoos to win against W&M
