Yep, ShotQuality takes into account who’s taking the shot — they actually have another stat called “shot selection” that grades each team’s shot quality regardless of personnel, and we rank 239th out of 358 in that. SQ hates how many midrange jumpers we take, unless it’s Jayden taking them (he ranks in the 73rd percentile for overall shot quality). Here is the table of ShotQuality PPP ranks for every UVA player this season:
Source: I work for ShotQuality
Love it h&h - some very telling stuff there.
Is the SQ passing points created per game only for made shots - or all passes that generate a high quality shot regardless of makes or misses?
Thanks! Some other interesting nuggets on Virginia from the ShotQuality site (I believe it has a pretty heavy paywall for team-specific info):
Here’s an explanation of the SQ passing points created stat from the site’s info page:
There are three reasons why assists are such a bad representation of passing
To calculate SQ Assists, we analyzed every pass that a player made, and quantified the percent chance each shot should had of going in. There are certain assists that lead to improbable shots that go in, and conversely, passes to great shots that are missed. SQ Assists dispel of those confounding and lucky factors and delivers one of the most advanced indicative assisting statistics.
The SQ assist is calculated using probability:
If Player X made a pass for a wide open layup that goes in 90% of the time. Then Player X would be credited with .9 of an SQ assist, regardless if the teammate made or missed the shot.
Or, if Player X made a pass to a contested midrange that goes in 20% of the time. Then, Player X would get credited with .2 of an SQ assist, regardless if the teammate made or missed the shot.
If player x makes a pass to a 50% 3 pointer vs 50% 2 pointer, does player x get .75 for the 3 and .5 for the 2?
Awesome stuff by the way. @DFresh11 always looking for more and more advanced analytics and is curious if SQ thinks your height should include shoes or not
There are actually 2 stats — SQ Assists and SQ Passing Points Created — that differentiate this.
Using your hypothetical (Player X passes to a 50% three pointer and a 50% two pointer):
Player X’s SQ assists = 0.5, the probability of shot 1 going in + 0.5, the probability of shot 2 going in = 1
Player X’s SQ passing points created = (0.5 x 3) + (0.5 x 2) = 2.5
Basically, SQ passing points created accounts for whether shots are 2s or 3s, and SQ assists just estimates how many assists a player should’ve had, regardless of whether they are 2s or 3s.
Man Im still trying to figure shit out like >< signs and what not.
Can we shut this topic down? I’d like to forget about that game.
I’m mostly kidding. Alright I’m half kidding. Okay not kidding kill this mfer thread.
So when I said that Reece would average 10 assists per game next year with better shooters I was basically right. 
He’s already at 8 a game with this squad.
So then the table is confusing to me.
Shouldn’t Reece’s 4.2 SQ assists per game lead to a minimum of 8.4 SQ Passing Points Created? Or do FTs throw that off?
If I’m reading the table correctly, Reece is benefitting from guys making more shots than they are supposed to. He averages 4.8 assists per game but only 4.2 SQ assists per game.
Bookmarking all this for a later date when I have time to go back and read and digest.
I can’t imagine trying to enjoy sports through an analytical lens.
That’s going to depend mostly on whether you enjoy anything through an analytical lens.
Fwiw I think most people in the room were still trying to re-write their game stories, lol. The Gardner thing completely slipped my mind while tryna type a whole new story after that cleveland shot
