🏀 Next Basketball Head Coach Speculation Thread

Randy Breuer (sp?) was McHale’s teammate on the 1980 Gopher team Ralph and the gang beat for the NIT championship. He was a tall, skinny, white dude who I think got some run in the NBA.

I think that Suggs is an unreliable narrator but if you read that article, there were other similar complaints from local kids.

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Calhoun low potential for Cavalanches? Is that the sound of Calhoun dropping on my list?

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I think this means you’re looking for a coach that has shown the ability to adapt to various things (I think this bodes well for Odom who seems to have won in a couple of different ways), or someone who’s style and program ethos sort of exist independently of the NIL apparatus (a Shaka type who runs a cult-like recruiting operation).

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My cranky take is that I don’t find Kill Shots to be a meaningful metric for a couple of reasons:

  1. Why 10-0? Seems arbitrary and just a round-number thing. Does it predict anything over and above what efficiency margin would?
  2. The variation between teams seems very small? At most it’s near 1 run a game difference between the top and bottom teams on each axis.
  3. I’m allergic to drawing arbitrary shapes on graphs and calling them meaningful categories. Looks pretty but is analytically suspect. There’s like 4 teams in some of those ovals!
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I hate that gordonpom guy with a burning passion.

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Utah state has really good infrastructure to be very competitive in its conference. Minnesota doesn’t. Hard to compare the jobs because they’re so different but one of my bigger concerns about Odom is that both Utah State and VCU are jobs pretty well setup for success. Hard to tell just how good a coach is unless they truly excel there.

And no idea what the answer to your second question would be. I bet there are plenty of fans that long for Pitino’s level of success at Minny.

I’m not really concerned that Pitino couldn’t recruit local kids just like Bennett couldn’t. With Bennett it was mostly about play style and he had to recruit nationally to get the exact guys to fit what he wanted. I’m just wondering why Pitino didn’t. So far it seems like he just didn’t try very hard for whatever reason. Maybe they didn’t fit his playstyle which is fine. I’m just hoping he didn’t misevaluate them or gave up too easily or was lazy or something like that.

Speaking of Minnesota, they hit the brakes on the Mick Cronin hype train last night. We’re out on Cronin now, right? RIGHT?

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Did Richard Pitino ever sweep the LA schools? (This is a joke)

Earnest point on this: Minnesota went from a difficult place to win to an impossible place to win. But he didn’t win! You don’t get points for not winning at a place that’s difficult.

But how much credit should Odom get for kind of winning at programs where it’s “easy” to win?

I don’t disagree on the number being arbitrary, but i do think it has some value regarding the general approach of 1) Scoring in bunches/getting multiple stops = good and 2) Dry spells/defense going on tilt = bad

Related sidenote - amusing to see the fightin’ Byingtons almost off the graph from giving up a high-level of runs. Maybe more indicative of just how ridiculous the SEC is and how they’re punching above their weight just being able to stay afloat most nights

More than the amount of credit you get for losing at a place where you’re supposed to lose.

NM is also a place that’s set up well to win.

This thread has taken on a bit of a silly “above baseline” metric that is … well, a bit silly. It kind of ignores the fact that good programs want to hire good coaches.

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I would argue UMBC isn’t an easy place to win. And that Odom was only the 2nd coach in the string of coaches that popped off and he had them as a top 30 team.

Id also argue Odom has done okay at VCU given Rhoades took Ace Baldwin with him and then he lost Tobi Lawal who is kinda the missing piece to his current team

If only there some way to tell whether Shitfart (Shart, if you prefer the whole brevity thing) McGee who took over Southeastern Poopstain U, which was ranked the 350th program when he started his tenure and led them all the way to 345, is a better coach than Bill Self who took over a top 5 program and kept it top 5, is a better coach. But alas…

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Dads are gonna dad, my friend. It’s not something that can be turned off, as I’m sure you well know.

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Yeah I’m generally on the same page. UMBC is why Odom got hired at Utah St and VCU. If he finishes strong the next few weeks it eases most of the concerns around him. I was just worried about how bad VCU looked early, especially for such a veteran team. I was hoping to see him put together a truly dominant season that made it obvious he was the guy.

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Its obviously absurd to base my opinion around one game, but I really want him to beat George Mason this weekend. A regular season title this year would make his resume a lot more palatable to me.

Still a lot of concerns about what his tenure at places looks like longer term. The big improvements year 2 are great! Really into that. What happens year 3? We don’t really know yet!

Agree I was hoping for him to leave no doubt this year, and I don’t think he’s done that at all.

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Winner gets the job.

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One year he had to suspend 4 scholarship players and played the last handful of games with 3 or 4 walk ons getting double digit minutes. Another year they suffered a couple of season ending injuries to multiple rotation guys, NBA player Amir Coffey among them. Take those down years with a grain of salt, they weren’t great to begin with, but they weren’t catastrophic because of Richard. His stint at Minnesota is probably underrated based on the KenPom era results of Monson, Tubby, and Ben Johnson

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