🏀 Next Basketball Head Coach Speculation Thread

lol 1-1 Quad 1 - add 4 more of our quad 1 games against Tennessee, St. John’s, Florida, and Memphis and they are probably 1-5

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How do you know this though?

Teams match up differently against each other, no idea of how feelings are of team on game day, etc. etc.

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For all the late night sickos, Eric Olen and UC San Diego have a big game tonight at 10PM against Cal State Northridge. UCSD is trying to hold off UC Irvine for the top spot in the Big West.

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It’s also fair to point out those 4 specifically would be quad 1A lol those teams are ranked 3 5 7 18… not many teams would do well there.

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Is the Quad loss win thing fluid or based on when the game was played and where teams were? Assume is fluid

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Fluid yes. No credit for piling on UNC this year lol (dammit now I’m mad about Saturday all over again)

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Kyle gets it. Johnny Carpenter is the future.

https://x.com/kylejguy/status/1895250320684654993?s=46&t=vkjgQUekzGC7z44tIfnIRQ

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First mention of Eric Olen in this thread was just a month and a half ago. Been discussed more and more lately. Have there been outside rumors involving him or is this just LRA talk?

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They’re very bad at solving for SOS. It’s hard to do but it’s a flaw in the data. For whatever reason, KenPom still maintains that beating an absolutely awful team with no players who would sniff even a midmajor roster by 20+ is equivalent to beating an elite team by 2. That Hokie nerd must have never played ball.

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VIP content has the answers you seek.

(As well as about 1000 posts debating non-VIP things)

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To be fair, that smelly Hokie dweeb doesn’t decide what’s equivalent to what. The weightings emerge from the data. The model just reflects what’s happened in the past.

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The data aren’t great though.

Excluding Gonzaga (which is a high major), over the last three tournaments, eight of 22 KP top-40 mid-majors at the end of the season made it out of the Round of 64. 10 of 21 P5/P6 teams outside KP top 40 made it out of the Round of 64.

UCSD up 71-66 on CSUN, been a good game.

Nobody will ever accuse UCSD’s roster of being athletic, but they run good offense and man can they shoot it 1-5. Their defense is pretty good, CSUN seems to be more athletic and probably more talented than them but UCSD has generated turnovers and forced some tough looks. They give up a lot of 3PA’s relative to their pace of play but I think that might be by design.

Olen would have to bring in a significantly higher level of talent here than what he’s currently got at UCSD, but that’s more of a no-brainer. The guy can clearly coach, this team is really really disciplined on both ends and Olen has clearly masked a lot of their limitations via a great scheme and gameplanning. So the hope is that once a better brand of talent is available to him it would only benefit what’s he’s able to do. I just wouldn’t want it to be a Mike Young situation where he’s deadset on a specific roster makeup that fits the mid major level more than the high major level, simply because that’s what he’s accustomed to coaching. It would limit our ceiling as a program even if the X’s and O’s were great.

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Love the statistical profile. Top 10 KP in turnover percentage on both teams ends. That’s beast.

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Yep, No. 1 in the country in TO margin, with a tempo near 300th.

Tempo near 300th? What are they doing, just coming down and chucking it up after 20-25 seconds? Squandering those last 5 seconds in favor of frivolous shots?

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80.3 points per game. They avg 8.9 turnovers a game and force 16.1.

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What defense did UCSD run? I thought I read somewhere they were running Zone. I’d be surprised if they were top 10% in defensive turnover % out of a zone. I’d expect more aggressive pressure defense with that metric.

It’s man. Hoonandtrue linked a game where they started in zone, but it was a wrinkle/a one-off.

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Yeah I was looking for portal candidates and yesterday was defensive guards so I was looking at top steals per game in the nation and UCSD has TWO guys in the top 20