I am still skeptical FSU does anything. But I found this interesting, the theory is that FSU may say the ACC/Swofford defrauded them to get them to sign the GOR as a way to get out of it. We shall see if it is just junk or has any reality to it.
Interesting, I think our fanbase/culture is a much better fit for SEC than Big 10.
Not sure on B, but A and C are easy to understand, and this is basically the right answer:
Linear networks (ie whatâs in your cable bundle) get ~2/3rds of their revenue from affiliate fees (which means that if you have a cable subscription, every network is getting a fee from your subscription, whether you watch it or not). But cable subscribers are declining at a high single digit rate as more and more people cut the cord, so revenue from affiliate fees is severely pressured.
Meanwhile, live sports is far and away the most important part of the cable bundle, which gives ESPN for example the ability to negotiate higher per subscriber fees (while every other network on cable is slowly dying), but even ESPN is hitting the wall. In the June quarter ESPN affiliate revenues (which are subscribers times per sub fee) were flattish and will probably turn negative next year.
But because sports are the only thing watched on TV, and because there are more networks than good leagues, the leagues (which effectively own the only content that has any value to the cable bundle) have a relative bargaining advantage over the networks, and so more and more of the value of the total cable bundle will accrue to the leagues.
Edit: the good news is this all means eventually theyâll have to fire Jay Bilas.
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I havenât looked into this in a long time, but pre-streaming (10 years ago, maybe?), there were 3 shows on network TV that had predominantly male audiences. That was it. Everything else was primarily women viewers and in some cases (like Law and Order) the viewership was 70+% women.
Sports, however, had overwhelmingly male viewership and were by far the most often watched live. Plus, people tended to watch the whole thing and not jump through commercials, so even as the broader market was declining the value of sports went up. One of those rare negative price-elasticity things, because it was one of the increasingly few advertising channels that still actually did the job.
So I wouldnât say sports advertising isnât doing the job and isnât worth the money, but I would say a decent number of potential buyers for the rights simply donât have as much money as they used to and thatâs going to push prices down.
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Iâm convinced this is true
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No clue how real this guy is butâŠ.
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Look at his feed. He is the kind of guy that throws everything at the wall and when 5% of it sticks he can say he called it but yet the other 95% was wrong and hype. This guys isnt a source to trust. Entertaining though.
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Same guy who unleashed the rumors in the early spring. One of these days heâll be right.
Iâm all for it if it happens⊠chaos before sports start again. Not sure what it would bring if FSU and Clemson end up in the Big 10 though. Seems like those were spots everyone thought would be there for us and UNC.
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The replies all assume this means imminent realignment news. More Pac 12 movement?
Not a fan of the vagueness to this degree haha
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Arizona scheduled a Board meeting tomorrow
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Can anyone read this link and summarize? Dan Wolken made it seem like the expected media deal for the Pac-12 is bleakhttps://247sports.com/college/arizona/article/pac-12-present-media-deal-on-tuesday-213459575/
Pac 12 meeting tomorrow to discuss potential media deal. Schools are expected to be unhappy with it. Heavy streaming. Could be as low as $20M per school. This follows a meeting last week, at which time schools demanded to see the numbers.
Arizona could be the next school to leave the Pac 12. Theyâve said before they would first wait to see what the media deal would look like.
Thatâs about it.
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The rumor is Apple at roughly ~$20M per. 80% streaming. CW offered mid-week linear game. Pretty brutal.
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Yeah that wont keep the big schools there.
On todayâs Audible podcast, Stewart Mandel brought up the possibility of Washington and Oregon (and maybe Stanford and Cal) to the ACC if the PAC 12 implodes. Bruce Feldman was almost apoplectic over the suggestion, but Stew said those whispers are out there, no matter how ridiculous.
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I think that would be fine for football, do a west coast trip once a season and those are good programs. It just gets messy for other sports. For bball, youâd prob have teams play like wed/sat games out there. And then I have no idea how the west coast teams deal with the travel, just leave them on the East coast for half the season in remote school?
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If it happens, do they rename ACC to be Athletic Coasts Conference?
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There are rumors that Apple could acquire the part of Disney or partner with them, maybe they end up with the ACC contract at some point âŠ
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Yeah, Stewart said he wished football would just split off from the NCAA and then you go back to regional conferences for everything else. What we already have is starting to get unworkable. USC volleyball is going to travel to Rutgers (or whatever)? But football is driving the bus.
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The Apple TV involvement is interestings. Had heard fot the last year they wanted in on college football. They have an MLS deal that may already be backfiring on the MLS to a degree.
For the numbers offered I donât blame an Arizona for wanting out. The PAC12 schools already struggle for proper representation putting them behind a paywall would be a deathblow. Especially if there is better money out there.
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