@paperboy Im totally with you. I sense your hesitation too, but I also feel we start slow, and these teams could all beat us and we could go 0-4. However, we seem to get better as the season comes around and other teams seem to rely on athleticism and experience. I would argue (to myself to make myself feel better) that we as a team seem to understand the system better a peak around early March. I also think that we are a bit naive with how we adjust to unknown teams each year. This leads to early losses and NCAA tourney losses. We don’t seem to adjust sometimes. Anyway, I digress, I like your comment and agree.
Yes. In fact preseason AP poll is so good that adding it as a data point to a model trying to predict ncaa tournament is valuable even right before the tournament when you’d think a team’s skill would be completely baked into all the other ratings and metrics.
All his tweet says is that the #1 in the poll is less likely to be national champ than the #1 in any other poll. I’m sure it’s true, but the implication that that makes the poll worthless is dumb.
Whatever we are doing to our offense is not a total rebuild. We may be adding stuff, but we aren’t scrapping our old offense and it is not accurate to say that our starters are still “learning the ropes” of our offensive schemes like some of those other teams will be.
Ok, I found the article from 2019 talking about it. Since 2004, every national champion has ranked at least 12th in the week 6 AP poll, and at the time, the eventual national champ had an avg ranking of 6.1 in week 6. Baylor was 2 and Kansas was 7, so not sure what the updated stats would be. So basically, no need to watch from week 6 until the tourney starts
I do recall that article about the power of the 6th week AP poll. If I’m doing it correctly, that means we all will watch for the poll of Dec. 19, 2022. Just bookmarked your post with a reminder for that day.
Adding Kansas and Baylor would make it 5.9 (5.944444…). Take that with a grain of salt because I was a history major who bombed integral calculus (among several other classes) at UVA.
LOL, yep, we really are fckd. Might want to start following LAX, tennis, swimming, baseball, golf (and whatever other sports programs at UVa have become perennial winners).
I’m told softball and volleyball aren’t consistently awful anymore, which is nice. I’m actually hard pressed to find a sport UVA isn’t good at right now. Bass fishing, maybe.