🏀 The 2024-25 Hoos, Ron Sanchez edition…

I dunno. Zion was a pretty big deal for a while.

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Big deal for basketball fans. Didnt transcend. Was very very close I’ll admit. But in a one and done world even if he did hes gone and the eyeballs went with him to Nola.

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Boosters dropping money on the transfer portal year after year is reminiscent of gambling addicts pulling on slots machines at the casino.

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College basketball has a unique pull. It’s not just people who attend a school. Huge numbers of fans grow up as “college basketball fans.” My godparents were Kentucky people so I learned to hate Duke in the early 90s. My Dad grew up in NY cheering for Syracuse just because. I rooted for them to win the tourney in 2003.

I think the big wigs are massively underrating how fandom is not just developed when kids go to a school but also a homegrown thing that hooks people while they are young. You need some continuity and tradition to keep that going. Going to see a lot of chipping away at that between conference realignment and transfer portal killing continuity of rosters year oover year.

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Alright guys I’ve come around to an optimistic view of things. Let me explain…

Tony Bennett was a legend. Best coach we’ll ever have. Period. I will miss him beyond measure, but what he said in his presser about not being the “right” coach for this day and age is right. Frustrations with the current state of NIL and college athletics aside, we need a coach that can succeed in this new world. And while I’ll miss the high floor and ACC dominance that TB could provide even in his “down” years, I think it was very clear that the program was in a rut.

So now, we have a scenario that’s imo best case. Sanchez gets an opportunity to take the roster Tony helped build, and provide continuity into a new season. The drop off shouldn’t be that severe over a one year period from a coaching standpoint. Theoretically. If we have a good year (this means win a tournament game) and there’s reason for optimism going into next offseason (ie young players breaking out), then you have reason to roll with Sanchez. Not sure what that would look like though because I’m still not sure he’s the right long term fit, but we can debate.

If we have a down year which is fairly likely, then we can have a big head start on finding the right fit. This is an attractive job, and with the right coach, in this new era, we can put together a competitive roster fairly quickly. Whether that’s the coach retaining some of our better players, bringing over some of “his guys”, or recruiting the portal, it’s not a scenario where we have to wait years to be good again. Louisville is one example. Not that they’ll be amazing this year but in one offseason they pieced together a really solid roster. Maybe not the best example but let me have this one.

I’ve reached acceptance stage. Not going to wallow anymore, especially when it’s beautiful outside here in Charlotte, NC. We’re going to get through this guys. UVA basketball WILL be back at some point; I truly believe that. Hope everyone has a great Sunday

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The problem though — what are we as fans going to be happy with?

When’s the last time a college coaching legend was replaced by someone with cachet within a year following his retirement? (And I’m saying retiring, not leaving for another college gig like Cal or Barnes).

Larry Brown was replaced by a 10-year assistant under Dean Smith (and he’s now in the HOF, but who knew that in 1988?).

Dean Smith was succeeded by his longtime assistant, Bill Guthridge (then Matt Doherty).

John Thompson’s replacement was his longtime assistant, Craig Esherick.

Roy Williams and K succeeded by their assistants, Hubert Davis and Jon Scheyer, respectively. Boeheim by his assistant, Adrian Autry, Calhoun by his assistant, Kevin Ollie. Knight by his assistant Mike Davis.

Even Terry Holland by his assistant, Jeff Jones.

I guess the point is, proven head coaches seem relunctant to follow a retiring legend.

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Or that ADs don’t fight legendary HC’s on their succession plans, for two reasons.

(1) They run the risk of incurring the wrath of donors more loyal to the HOF coach than the AD.

(2) If the AD picks an outsider and they fail, it’s all on the AD and likely costs them their job, but if the HOF’er’s chosen successor fails, the AD can point the finger at the old coach.

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Yeah, but that will be Wake’s fault.

Seriously, though, I don’t think it’s the money that’s going to turn off fans. I think it will be having to learn to love an entirely new set of players every year. You don’t have time to grow emotionally attached. (On the other hand, Kentucky and Duke didn’t seem to lose any fans when all their players were one-and-done, so who knows?)

It would be a similar dynamic with pro sports if every player was a free agent every year. But they’re not: There are restrictions in place, like contracts and collective bargaining. I think that’s what CTB was talking about when he referred to “guardrails.” He even mentioned collective bargaining explicitly.

Also, it’s clear the grind of of the job now – full speed nonstop all year, with no down time anymore – wore him down and got in the way of enjoying things he cherished, like his family.

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I agree here. The problem is the free agency every year for your entire team. I am a pretty invested fan, but even I find it difficult to get too invested in several of our players. Just feels like most won’t end up meaningfully contributing to us.

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Based on prior comments, I assume that among the “guardrails” he spoke of were things that would fall under the umbrella of “work/life balance for coaches” – e.g. build a couple breaks into the schedule.

I mean, fall break was the first couple days he had to stop and think since the end of last season, and we’re a couple weeks away from next season? That’s not sustainable.

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Yeah, because (a) they win and (b) those guys often become NBA stars (who then claim Duke or UK as their alma mater in pregame introductions). Very different for all those mid-level teams that are stuck in mediocrity with players they never hear from again.

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Evolving the “Director of Scouting / Recruiting” role to be a full fledged GM to handle the transfer portal would ostensibly let the head coaches get less burned out by recruiting both HS and Portal. First problem is college coaches are roster control freaks and don’t want to cede that to anyone else. Second problem is the HC still has the unenviable job of trying to keep the current players happy enough to not bolt in the Portal, which I bet Tony really grew to hate.

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I think you’re right the first time. Perennially dominant teams like Duke and Kentucky are different – they tend to attract the sort of fan that just likes being a fan of a dominant team, and doesn’t need to (or maybe care to) get emotionally attached to the players. But you can only have a few teams like that.

But when every school has massive turnover every year, so there’s little emotional attachment to players, and 99% of those teams remain mediocre anyway, the bloom is off the rose.

Edit: er, yeah, what @StLouHoo already said.

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How attractive is the Virginia job?

  • JPJ half full the last few seasons
  • ACC a dying conference
  • You’re competing against the Carolina market (to an extent)
  • Academic restrictions
  • NIL seems good, but restrictive (not sure how much is Tony v how much is the University)
  • Following a legend

I think it’s attractive but it’s not a job that attracts a bonafide top coach. To be fair, not many jobs in college basketball that would - we are just not in that company.

That leaves you with competing with any P5 team that has an opening next Spring for an up-and-comer. No clue who they are but I think either way it’s not a slam dunk that we’re the “top job”.

That sounds doom & gloom. I just think we will have a ceiling (unless we back up a truck) of who is interested and won’t necessarily receive our pick. I think it will still attract guys that succeeded at a mid major or high major - but think guys like Otz would pass.

Agree with all that. Plus third problem, the recruit (including transfer recruits) would rather be recruited by the coach. The coach is the guy they want to be comfortable with, have a relationship with; that’s the guy they want to want them. So there is a recruiting disadvantage to outsourcing the job.

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Maybe not “lose” fans, but my UK friends in Louisville hated OAD because they looked at the Pitino 1992-96 years as the “good old days.” They got to watch a team develop and flourish (much like we did with Bennett), and didn’t have to learn 7-8 new names every year.

It was more ambivalence. They’re hoping Pope goes back to the old days, but understand NIL and the portal are a barrier to developing players over more than a 1-2 year window. What they hated under Cal will now be commonplace, they fear.

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I’ve heard Duke fans express the same sentiment. It’s no different from the rest of us who still enjoy college basketball and football and yet maybe don’t enjoy it quite as much, or in the same way, as we used to.

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5mil a year would make it pretty darn attractive.

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Of course I’m still excited. It’s Virginia basketball! I’ve been excited for over 40 years. (Okay… I waned during Leitao.)

But here’s two specific reasons I’m less excited than I would otherwise be.

  1. As much as I root for Virginia, I was also rooting for Tony Bennett himself. And this season, I wanted to see him defeat two narratives: one, that he can’t coach offense; and two, that he can’t adapt to the new rules. I still think both are false (the latter especially), but now he won’t get to prove it.
  2. I don’t really “know” Sanchez. If JWilly were taking over, I’d have a connection; it would be more like a Holland-to-Jones situation. I already liked Jeff Jones. Sanchez is a blank slate for me. (To be clear, I’ve never met any of these guys.)

But yeah, I’m excited. Less so. But it’s still Virginia ball games.

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Also think we’re overstating the “new team to root for every year”. A successful coach here should be able to retain a solid core year over year. Will be definitely be more attrition than we’re used to but could also see us using NIL to keep players in college longer.

What will suck is younger players who need development will be major flight risks if they don’t play right away. Thats the case now but TB did a better job at retaining these types of players than our future coach will.

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