Honestly I just haven’t had time to pull down the KenPom rankings and run averages
I’m so excited for this season. Nothing else matters
Eh. Some things are weird which makes it a little hard to compare. Like, after its 2017 championship, UNC was 25-10 going into the NCAA tournament the next year which was somehow good enough to get them a 2-seed? I know they had a tough schedule, but still. 2 years ago they were 28-9 and that was an 8-seed.
So, they won in 2017, then:
2018 - 2-seed, but that feels wildly generous to them and they really deserved like a 4-seed
2019 - 1-seed, legit. UVA and the Zags were obvious 1-2, and then UNC was one of like 6 teams you could reasonably argue deserved one of other 1-seeds.
2020 - Covid saved them from not even making the NIT
2021 - 8 seed
2022 - 8 seed
2023 - Turned down NIT
So, in the 6 seasons after their championship, UNC has been a 1-seed, should really have been a 4-seed, an 8-seed twice, and missed the NCAAs twice. UVA, in 4 seasons, if you assume a 4-seed in 2020 (seems about right), was a 4-seed 3 times and missed once. That seems about comparable and UVA earning, say, a 4-seed this year would put UVA clearly ahead imo.
Edit - Realized I’d left out 2022 when UNC was an 8-seed, as UNC won 2 years before UVA, not 1 year. Edited what I listed above to reflect that. So, a 1-seed, should have been a 4, 2 8s, and 2 missed tournaments. I’m not confident UVA has done worse than that.
Sam Vecenie’s Game Theory podcast from Friday discusses possible NBA draft options.
At 55:54: He said Ryan Dunn is a draft pick “if he can do anything on offense because his defense is already ridiculously high level “
How many teams have won a title right before monumental shift in college bball (NIL, no sit transfers, covid and canceled tourney, 6 year seniors)? We can just throw history out the window. Baylor hasn’t been that good, they had a run it back team (which we never got) and got upset by UNC. Villanova has been on a downward trend since their 2 titles and their coach retired. Let’s not forget UConn after 2014, took them 8 years to turn that around.
Excellent point. Seismic shift that went against the foundational focus of the program… namely bringing in top 50-150 talent, getting them to focus on defense, and developing them for 3-4 years. Hard to do that anymore.
Also, Nova won in 2018 and in the 5 seasons since then they’ve gone:
2019 - 6-seed
2020 - tournament cancelled, maybe a 3-seed?
2021 - 5-seed
2022 - 2-seed
2023 - NIT
So, in 5 years, they’ve been a 2-seed, 3-seed, 5-seed, 6-seed, and missed the tournament once. That’s probably better than UVA’s 3 4s and a miss, and their NCAA success has been a lot better. But Nova was the absolute go-to example for teams choking in the NCAA’s… until they weren’t.
But that’s not what happened lol Tony just missed on evaluations. He got the guys he wanted he just wanted the wrong guys. If Casey, Carson, Jabri, and Kadin were as good as Malcolm, Kyle, Justin, and Jay there wouldn’t be a dip
Tick Tock.
Sheeesh. If Reece is hittin pull-ups and step backs in games we’re winnin the chip this year
Beeks looks incredible. Love Bliss getting these reps in so early on in his career
Bliss has incredible intensity and focus and physicality. I think his positioning on D will come around - he’s not that far off from what you see in these videos and practice tapes. Kid is going to be a fan favorite. Full dawg.
Me in 48 hours: sooooo……football season in a few years?
Maybe
I almost feel bad for Justin Taylor when watching Damian’s IG clips
I thought he was the starting stretch 4 and Dunn was the starting small ball 5
I imagine in those lineups Groves guards the slower bigs and Dunn guards stretch 4s and more aggressive forwards.
It will be interesting to see who actually starts since those “projected starting lineups” in the past have been off.
Those posters really need to be a thing again