Okay this is ridiculous
You know the drill. Predict Virginia footballās regular season win total:
- 5
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 10
- 11
I think the consensus among our fanbase going into the season was that 8-4 should be the goal, and weāre now at the point where if we finished with that record it would be viewed as a disappointment.
One 10 win season in our history back in 1989, and currently 70% of voters in the thread above predicting it for this year!
Crazy how much the expectations have shifted even for the most opportunistic fans, and Iām among that group who has raised expectations drastically since August.
Has the post-game injury list been compiled? Who can recover in the two weeks and get back on the field?
Are Boley & Twitty long term?
Does Wilson come back?
No idea on Boley but Iād be utterly shocked if Twitty came back
Yeah I will be a little disappointed if we donāt play for the ACCG at this point⦠Wonāt be shocked if we donāt, but the path to it seems so clear right now that I canāt help but start imagining it.
Although⦠If the goals are higher, it may not be the worst outcome if we were to somehow miss it on some weird tiebreaker and sit there at 11-1 not playing that week⦠Really Indiana it up.
Not even sure if thatās possible. Someone would have to let me know how a tie between GT and us would be decided. Win% vs. common opponents is next, someone would have to do the math on that. And does NC State get included in that since theyād play them in-conference? Could be a real strange set up.
If anyone wants to do the math:
Two-Team Tie
a. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.
b. Win-percentage against all common opponents.
c. Win-percentage against common opponents based upon their order of finish (overall conference win percentage, with ties broken) and proceeding through other common opponents based upon their order of finish.
d. Combined win-percentage of conference opponents.
e. The tied team with the higher ranking by the Team Rating Score metric provided by Sport Source Analytics following the conclusion of regular-season games.
f. The participant shall be chosen by a draw as administered by the Commissioner or Commissionerās designee.
I assume one of those at some point would favor GT if we both won out.
I donāt wanna be ACC title game or bust, just because I think our margin for error on that is so thin. We could go 10-2, which would be a historically good year for us, and still miss the title game. Or as you pointed out 11-1 and still miss it on a tiebreaker.
It is definitely within reach though as long as we stay healthy and continue to play at a high level.
Iād love to go to the ACCCG but as others have mentioned I donāt think it favors us to attend. Im assuming on the other side of the field would be a playoff ready Miami and I saw that story back in 19 agaisnt Clemson.
Not sure if itās possible but Iād be ok facing GT in that situation and let the chips fall where they may.
Hypothetically speaking it would be a hell of a conundrum for the playoff committee if they had to choose between us at 11-1 who didnāt make the ACCCG on a tiebreaker or GT at 11-2 who did make it on the tiebreaker but lost to Miami.
GTās two losses would be to Miami and Georgia, but they would also have zero standout wins on their resume.
So ⦠weāre one of the last P4 teams that hasnāt hosted GameDay. Any chance we get it on 10/18 or 11/8 (parents weekend)? 10/18 would be funny because of the whole Washington state flag thing. But still seems unlikely. But if weāre 8/1 and hosting Wake on 11/8 ā¦
There are bigger games on the schedule in both cases. But theyāve been to Tuscaloosa and Miami. Maybe Athens, GA though for Ole Miss at UGA on 10/18. But I could imagine them deciding to check the box on a Charlottesville trip while they have a chance.
You just gave me my dream scenario because Ill always vote for let the world burn
Hoping that weāre lobbying really hard for it. They could also have 2 weeks to set up with our bye week, if thatās a consideration for them at all. I agree regarding other possible games. UGA seems like the logical choice, given Miami and Bama have just had it, but UGA is kind of boring with all theyāve had recently. I think Arizona State might actually end up with it if both those teams win this week
Pretty cool place to be, right?
Weāre going to lose
Pulling every string I have to get Gameday to Charlottesville for 11/8
Whatās the spread? Howās Dragon supposed to make picks if thereās no line?