🏀 Virginia at Duke, Saturday, 28 February 2026, 1200, ESPN/2

Don’t tell me you’re spelling police now after spitting out this word salad a few days ago :rofl:

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I agree. Last year’s team was head and shoulders above the field. They flat out choked and gagged the Houston game away. 3 starters on this year’s team were backups last year. I don’t think Duke’s backcourt is anything special. And they aren’t typically going to shoot 3’s like they did Saturday. That was an anomaly. That said, I think they are one of a handful of teams that could cut down the nets. (Florida, Michigan, Arizona, Duke)

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There are only three teams shooting >40% this year. There were none last year. 90th percentile this year is 36.9%. We’re 77th percentile — not elite but certainly very good to excellent.

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FWIW, we are #22 out of 79 high major teams.

Eyeballing it / estimating — we are probably top of the bell curve for high major tourney teams.

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I think we’re about as good as a team comprised of mostly mid major transfers and Euro role players can be. Teams like that get stomped by top teams with real NBA size, athleticism, and skill. Our teams of the past that beat top Duke teams largely matched their size and athleticism; it’ll take a while to build back to that.

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35.6% overall but only 33.1% in Acc play…
So significantly better against lesser opponents.

I like visualizing it along with 3P-rate, since some of the best-shooting teams also are a little more choosy on their 3s (this is high majors only to reduce visual complexity):

Christian Anderson is making an absurd number of unassisted 3s for Texas Tech.

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The recent Duke teams that we beat were also not nearly as good as this years Duke team

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But that’s probably true of most P4s — better in the non-con than vs. conference opponents.

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This is true. We lost close to some similarly elite Duke teams at least, 2015 and 2019 come to mind.

Averages can be misleading. We’re a streaky team, and we’ve had as many poor shooting games as hot shooting games. In ACC play, for example, we’ve shot under 30% five times. That’s a third of our games. So that was my point: “Off days” are not rare.

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One player I don’t want to see in March Madness.

3P% has high game-to-game variability. For example, NC State (38.6% on the season) has shot under 30% 6 times in conference play. Average is misleading because of the high variability, but I think it is misleading for all teams in equal amounts and less misleading than other ways to try to capture the underlying 3P “true” shooting ability.

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In case you missed it:

https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/2028506210098368555?s=46

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Unfortunately, I am morally and intellectually prevent from considering the merit of something’s insufferability if these guy say it is so.

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Love it. Portnoy gets it. Any “hate Duke” monologue is a good monologue.

Scheyer asking for that flagrant review pissed me off to no end. Like, come on man. How petty do you have to be? Duke is disgusting.

They probably had on their “fan” game script: “Jacari White, wears #6, was once homeless; when he misses a shot harass him with something to do with bricks and wishing he had some to build a house” (or some other corny ass middle school drivel). I say this because their leaked fan scripts from the past are some of the most cringe and ridiculous things you will ever see in the world of sport.

My disdain for Duke basketball knows no bounds. Go Hoos!!!

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I thought the same, and basically thought that last year, too. But it helps when you have an NBA all star at PF with PG assist numbers.

Plus wings who can shoot. With that, having just “good” offensive guards like Proctor and Foster and Boozer and Sion James (not looking this up — maybe he was good) works just fine, I guess.

James and proctor actually had very good numbers… better than I remember.

Anyway, F Duke. Why am I talking about them so much? On to Wake. Nah, who am I kidding. Who cares about Wake…

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I hate Duke. Hate them, hate them, hate them, hate them. But they were the better team, with the emphasis on “team.” Forget about individual players. Duke was more cohesive, more disciplined, more sound fundamentally. Maybe not surprising, considering four of their rotation players played together last year. There’s something to be said for continuity, as Tony used to tell us. Hopefully, we’ll enjoy some of those benefits next year.

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Duke is quite a bit better than us this season. Not sure why the loss has been dissected so much. We got blown out in Cameron like pretty much everyone else does whenever Duke is really good. At least it wasn’t at home like NC State

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Note the score differential in NC State’s losses to us, and to Duke. Transitive property DID NOT hold in our game vs. Duke.

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