šŸ€ Virginia at Georgetown Scrimmage, L, 66-55, Saturday, 26 Oct, N/A, In a World of Pure Imagination

IMac 0-6 from 3, 2-13 overall. Well that ain’t gonna happen much.

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The big concern (besides the coaching and the roster) is that this team does not have the mental fortitude to come back after losing 6-7 games by the new year. Add in an inevitable head scratching loss to a cupcake and it feels like they could just get demolished in ACC play.

The recent teams could barely come back mentally from being down five points. We’ll see what happens if they lost 3 out of 4 games in a row.

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My season prediction:

-3 - 19

We are going to win zero real games and win negatively 3 games. How do we do this? We fans get our feelings hurt by people on Twitter after a loss and weep openly on the message boards. You think the fan embarrassment after Colorado state was bad? Just wait for the self loathing this season. Look where we are after two scrimmages.

Negative 3 wins. Book it.

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I got us at 17-14 (we play 31 games this year unless I counted wrong). Would’ve had us at 20-11 or 21-10 with TB.

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I’m gonna place general faith in the fact we were so excited about just a short time ago: We have a ton of former top 100 guys on this roster. 17/18 yo talent doesn’t always play, but it’s not gonna miss on everyone

As of today I think I’m at 18 plus/minus

Why? Tony built and believed in this roster and it’s still a roster made up of mostly top 100 guys.

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I’m sitting at 18 as well. +/- 2 probably.

Does an NIT title run keep Sanchez the job??

I’d be shocked if we end up with a losing record. That’s a lot of home games we’d have to lose.

For reference, VT won 16 in MYs first year with a roster far worse than this one.

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The Villanova game is going to tell us so much. They’re a bubble team breaking in a number of new pieces too. If we lose that convincingly then I think we’re in for a very long season but if we win, I think we’ll come out okay.

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Eric Dixon might beat us by himself like he did UNC last year. Need Blake to play a very high level game to have a chance.

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We name Ditka as permanent head coach in two weeks and go 31-0.

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Who ends the regular season with more wins?

  • Men’s team
  • Women’s team
  • Tie
0 voters

Mike Young was a winner as a mid-major coach. Was Sanchez?

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He’s a good offensive coach and I think the ACC is deeper now. But I might be misremembering how good/bad the ACC was back then.

Edit to add that I think our non con is pretty tough

19-12 regular season is my prediction

In the new world with all teams drastically changing every year with transfers and new HS recruits how can you go through a schedule and pick wins and losses? Transfers come from mid majors and other power five’s benches. How are these new guys going to play with your team and how will the chemistry be? We don’t even know that much about our team from the scrimmages. You can only tell so much from a scrimmage box score. Let’s watch everyone play 2 or 3 games before we decide if we will beat Clemson on March 1st.

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You look at each game and try to predict which team will win and which team will lose. (J/k I hear you)

Fwiw, I looked up a bit of the scoop on UConn scrimmage last year. It went to OT and we lost. Cling Kong was out and we had a future starter on a team in the hunt for an NBA title on our team. We also had a senior all-ACC PG. People forget we had some really good talent on our roster year. I’m not surprised we tied UConn in a scrimmage a couple weeks away from the opener given our talent level and given Clingan was out.

I AM surprised we were not better last year given our talent, but nobody wants me to re-raise that and now it’s really moot. Even I can’t claim it has much relevance… That talent is gone or not playing this year, and we have a new coach…

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  1. I assume everyone’s predictions have pretty sizable (implied) error bars around them for the reasons you mentioned. Maybe some people are high confidence (they probably shouldn’t be).
  2. Making predictions when things are very uncertain is interesting, because it makes one think about what we might know and what we don’t, and pulls for a commitment towards a particular mental model for looking at the season.
  3. But it’s valid to say ā€œI’d like to sit back and see what’s upā€ and give everyone’s predictions zero weight in your mental model of this season. Enjoy the season in whichever way you find most enjoyable!

This offensive version of Ryan Dunn wasn’t on last years team for who knows what reason (could be any number of things). I think not tapping into that was the biggest reason last season wasn’t a success, second being Rohde not being nearly the player we hoped he’d be

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Mine always do. Before our last real game, I predicted we would try to do better on offense, but we didn’t really try, so I always approach predictions with extreme humility.