🏈 Virginia vs Bye Week #1, Saturday, 5 September 2026

Saw Bud Elliott talking about this as well.

The issue is the SMU-Duke-Wake stretch. 3 should be solid to more than solid teams. Hope we can keep him upright through that stretch.

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Duke lost a lot. Wake is scrappy and will fight ( We win). SMU, I will accept whatever outcome happens tbh.

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Is 11-2 with losses @SMU and Miami in the ACCCG with that schedule a playoff team? Or 11-1 (@SMU) and losing a tiebreaker for an ACCCG a playoff team? What if we lose the tiebreaker to SMU and they beat (or even lose to) Miami, would 3 ACC teams make the playoff?

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Think it’d be tough to be the third team in from the ACC with our strength of schedule. Need to clearly wrestle into second id think, but who knows.

I highly doubt it unless a couple of teams on our schedule are unexpectedly top 25 caliber by seasons end. Otherwise we need to go undefeated in the regular season or win the ACC champ game

I doubt the CFP committee would give the ACC 3 spots tbh, even if we earned it. Duke getting smacked last year also didn’t help our case.

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I think if we have a string of convincing wins, we’d be in a 2024 Indiana situation. If we’re winning the way we won last season, no chance we get a playoff bid.

Kinda paradoxically, if we lose @VT or @FSU and win @SMU, our resume might look better than if we won all of our games besides @SMU.

I mean, this is all way too premature, but it’s fun that this is the daydream scenario at this stage and not maybe if we get lucky a couple games we might sneak into a bowl game with 6 (or even 5) wins.

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Don’t bring me down….Hoos!

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Is SMU that good?

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I keep wondering that, tbh. They don’t get much headline talk, so I suppose they stay under the radar??? They have Texas oil money tho

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I mean I’m sure they’re good…they’ve been very solid since joining the ACC. It just seems like when looking at our schedule, a lot of folks talk like it’s a loss…it’s not like we’re playing Ohio State in Columbus.

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(Parody account but I still laughed)

https://x.com/LSUCoachMac/status/2095690981857223121

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bye week this early sucks lmao. I need uva football again

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I think getting in at 11-2 would be tough. Would definitely need a ranked win or two and/or the losses are really close

So I think potentially rooting guide this week is Duke > Tulane, Cal > UCLA, maybe marginally FSU > SMU since I think SMU has a better shot to rebound from a loss. Also hate to say it but if the Tech game is a big ranked vs ranked game and we get a spotlight during rivalry week that would help a lot too..

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Not getting in at 11-2 would mean that we weren’t in the top 10 at 11-1 because the past committees haven’t let a CCG loss knock a team out of the playoff that would’ve made it if they didn’t play a CCG.

2024 Indiana was ranked 9 the week before the CCGs, so it’d be close and would depend on how many other teams were having great seasons.

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BYU was out at 11-1 going into conference championship week last year, and that was with a win over a top 15 team and the only loss being on the road to a top four team

Granted SMU the year before was 8 at 11-1 with no wins over teams ranked by year end. As you said probably depends also on the teams around us

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You’re right, 2025 BYU is a better comp than 2024 Indiana. 11-2 is probably one of the first teams out, especially if this years committee weighs SOS more heavily.

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