I think offensive boards are the big concern at this point. Theyāve struggled with that in all three games.
Tony was not big on ORs so it was never a strength, but Ronās numbers are even more stark than Tonyās
Yeah Iām worried about offensive rebounding as well, especially if weāre gonna be a more perimeter oriented offense. Itās more anecdotal but long shots should = long rebounds, and thus more chances for us to get ORās.
I think if you want to over interpret 3 games of data, and Iām not opposed to it, then lack of 2s and easy buckets is a thing. Basically reflects our strength being 3-point shooting and weakness being dribble drive and easy post buckets. (Relatively speaking)
Just spot-checking some charts on Torvikās site, teams that shoot more 3s tend to get less offensive rebounds. This makes sense, because the lineups that make for lots of 3PA are probably not well-suited on average to grab boards.
Thatās a good point.
Would be interesting to see a chart of average shot distance from teams compared to offensive rebounding rate, and whether there would be a correlation. Probably not, think Iām conflating teams like Bama and BYU who excelled at both last year as being the ānormā.
I think we score way more than 42. Can Igor really guard Saunders? Iām not seeing Igor has anything but an average defender and above average offensive playerā¦ way over hype. Saunders goes for 20.
Would be very happy with a cover so long as itās not a late back door cover where we are thoroughly out classed from the start
Hyperbole is common place these days. I see it constantly in the threads on this site, saying that certain teams are horrible, suck, really bad, a joke, etc. when, in fact, āaverageā would be a more appropriate description.
Gut says Tennessee by 10-12 which lines up with that, though itās tricky in a game thatās very likely only gonna be 66 or 67 possessions. Could benefit us.
Completely agree.
With that being said fuck Tennessee theyāre trash and weāre gonna beat them by 40.
True dat. No BSān there at all! Bitches goin down!
I would never ever bet on uva to win or to cover because that would be stupid. But that line is not right. We are going to lose by 40.
Are you calling my overuse of hyperbole mid?
This is quite possibly the stupidest thing anyone has ever said in the history of language
Beating a 10.5 spread means either we actually played competitive and stayed within striking distanceā¦ or our green team closed the gap a bit at the endā¦ neither of which seems likely.
Orā¦ Ron keeps our starters in against their scrubsā¦ 
Everyone raves about UConn because they won two nattys in a row, but what I say is they were just a half standard deviation above average. (Donāt check my math)
I canāt remember the last time our green team didnāt piss down their leg. Except for Grant Kersey of course.
line already creeping up. Tenn -11.5
Beating that spread isnāt likely? Barttorvik projects a 69-61 Tennessee victory. Donāt pay for kenpom but their general numbers arenāt too far off from Torvik so I wouldnāt expect a ton of variation in score prediction.
