TV: ACCN
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I guess the Good Feet Store is all-in on Tony Elliot & 8-winsā¦
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Not surprised that the most bullish UVa fan is all in on 8 wins.
The actual list is some clickbait BS. Itās more of a list of fan driven hot seat than program drive/whatās possible hot seat
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Yepā¦ i wasnt posting for thr hot seat pieceā¦ it just came with the conversation
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Or heās out on Coach Odom! J/k
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This teams not winning 8. Can I just bet him money instead??
The issue with a lot of projecting is weāre now going to be pretty cleanly favored against Tech I think, but JC Price is going to come in like an old school one out reliever just for our game and beat us into the ground.
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I donāt think 8 wins is out the windowā¦ I mean the easiest 8-4 projection wouldāve been lose to State, FSU Louisville and Tech. Thatās all still possible.
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Congrats on the tickets. Lucky bastard.
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8 is what we should win! It would be 3-2 in the toss ups which we are actually mostly favored in (Cal and Duke are at 51% and 50% win probability for us with Kelley Ford right now).
I just really donāt trust us to take care of business like that. Iād bet weāll drop at least one of Duke or Cal and UNC could prove tricky as well.
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Basically. I predicted 8 at the start and itās still in play. NC State was always a 50/50 game that I upgraded to a 60/40 game on Friday. A loss doesnāt drastically change the math for the overall season. Not nearly as much as Dukes passing defense getting worked over the weekend, or the looming threat of UNC becoming respectable by Oct.
I donāt have all the fancy charts and stuff some people do, but I can let my track record speak for itself.
I mean it kind of changes the math for the overall season? It took our expected wins down .5 because that 50% of a win went to 0.
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Yeah I need so see us win a game like this before I expect it. State win wouldāve done wonders for my confidence in 8 wins. Now Iām sticking with 7
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I donāt really see a path to UNC being respectable. Gio Lopez just isnāt good and their defense stinks. I guess the path is just BB being BB but have my doubts there too
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Theyāre bad and I donāt think thereās a high ceiling for them. But they have a nice run of games here that if they are going to find their stride this is when it happens. I generally think UNCās talent level is low and even a big brain coach isnāt enough to save them, but maybe the could get their defense together enough to hold the line. Maybe.
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If we had a healthy oline and Robinson then 8 would very much be in play.
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Des offense vs. BB defense has me pretty shook. He used to shut down coaches who were good at their jobs! And Steve did a good job at Washington last year!
Agree team is a mess and you could see some serious checked out-ness by the time we play them though.
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I mean, the earliest OUs had us at 5.5, so if anyone jumped on the over back then, itād be looking solid right now.
Iām thinking 6 wins though, and Elliott gets another year, but no extension. He would still have 3 years left on the deal, thereāll be a new Governor in place, so hopefully the Board and President situations get settled and the buyout decreases a little more.
Which, I know, is kinda a worst case scenario just delaying the inevitable, but finding a new coach willing to take our job without knowing who the President will be might eliminate a lot of good choices. And we could end up with Mike London Part Deux. Literally.
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It looks like a fanbase hot seat list, but itās not totally unreasonable and they guys on there were on reporter pre-season hot seat lists too.
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100% I donāt disagree with any of the names.
My caution flag came because of $70 and $90Million the buyouts surrounding Lincoln and DeBoer. As two extreme examples.
On the flip side, I think Gundy could get moved up the a list of that nature his buyout is down to 15 after he restructured his deal and thatās a program that has historically underperformed while having more than any other program I can think of
5.5 and 6.5 were the numbers going into the season, Iāve been hammering them through the opener. Iāll stand on the 8 wins number here for the sake of content and the fact that Iām not adjust a bet mid-season.
Long as the Over 6.5 comes in, I donāt care a ton about the rest. Whoās in charge come 26 and 27 will sort itself out when it gets there.
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