2023 UVa Offseason Chatter

With the caveat that my information is third-hand (I got it from someone who got it from someone): I’ve heard that Rhode may be the best outsider shooter on the team; that A-Rob is going to develop into a stud, although not this year; that Harris is really, really, really quick; that both Bond and Dunn are better offensively than we think; and that Reece has been a lot more aggressive and confident with his shot (including the midrange).

EDITED TO ADD: I’m looking forward to HGN’s notes. He has better sources than I do.

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I know someone can pull up the specific stats on Rohde’s shooting, but he was shooting 40+ from 3 non conference and 40+ from 3 in the like the last 10 or 12 games or something like that. It’s that middle part of the season where he dipped hard (some 0fer games).

He was averaging 38% from 3 on a little under 6 attempts a game his last aau season with Phenom on nike circuit.

I also could see the Leon part. He’s way more skilled than Dunn going off the blue white scrimmage which aligned with what @rushdacote saw in Italy. Just needed to develop the 3pt shot but HGN thought he was the Hunter type out of HS. Dunn is more raw and is still in my mind the Akil/Atkins to Trey Murphy type (if he gets the 3pt shot right).

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Got more length and clearly he has body control/athleticism.

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My question about Harris is if his quickness will translate to scoring/scoring touch in the lane? In addition-hopefully atleast 35% from the perimeter. We keep hearing about his quickness but I wonder why that stands out? Is it because he’s really making plays happen because of it?

Regarding Bond/Dunn it would be fantastic for them to be better offensively than we think! With those two being consistent that gives us: Beeks, iMAC, Rhode, Bond, Dunn as the big 5. Harris as the 6th contributor and hopefully some post players that are able to contribute as well.

https://twitter.com/UVAMensHoops/status/1710035180990148973

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If it is a just world, every Louisville game will be on the CW.

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Story on Minor from Mike Barber at the RTD:

The basketball fit discussion won’t be new to us, but the anecdotes about the kind of person he is were pretty neat.

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Re: Rohde’s defense, I didn’t see it mentioned but he is good at getting steals as well. Averaged 1.7 last year

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Omg next thing you’ll tell me is

image

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With the caveat that I should never be taken seriously, I have it in good authority that rohde, while somewhat talented offensively, couldn’t guard a stick of deodorant from a Frenchman.

No but seriously people need to lower expectations.

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So on TB’s top 30 KenPom offenses, the top 3 & 4 scorers combined for:

2018/19 Guy, Hunter Jerome, Diakite: 44.2 PPG, 51.6 PPG. KenPom #2

2015/16 Brogdon, Gill, London, Tobey: 43 PPG, 50.3 PPG. KenPom #8

2020/21 Hauser, Huff, Murphy, Clark: 40.3 PPG, 49.8 PPG. KenPom #17

2014/15 Brogdon, Anderson, Gill, Atkins: 37.8 PPG, 45.4 PPG. KenPom #21

2013/14 Brogdon-Harris-Gill-Anderson: 33.3 PPG, 41.1 PPG. KenPom #27

2017/18
Guy-Hall-Jerome-Hunter: 36.4 PPG, 45.6PPG. KenPom #30

First thought is Brogdon-AG-London is closer to the big three than I would have guessed. 2013/14 doesn’t fit the exercise well because after Malcolm and Joe the 3-6 scoring was very balanced. How do we think this year’s squad stacks up? My guess is the top 3 scorers will be Beekman, McKneely, and Rohde in some order. Dunn is imo the most likely 4th leading scorer. Do we think those guys could get up to 36-38 PPG from the top 3 and 45-46 PPG from the top 4 we saw in the 2014/15 and 2017/18 seasons? I think it’s very possible. I think at a conservative projection we are looking at:

Reece: 11.7 PPG. I’m going with Devon Hall’s senior average. I expect a similar late career jump is a low end outcome for Reece this year.

IMac: 10.6 PPG. What Ty averaged as a sophomore. Joe, Malcolm, and Kyle averaged more

Rohde: 10.1 PPG. Armaan Franklin averaged 11.1 his first year after transferring in. Think slightly worse than that (on hopefully better efficiency?) is a reasonable baseline for Rohde.

Dunn: 7PPG. The 4th leading scorer on a college team almost has to get to 7 points by default. I expect us to be halfway competent so even if it’s not Dunn our 4th leading scorer will get at least 7PPG.

So as a baseline I have us at 32.4 PPG, 39.4PPG. I suspect we’ll see another 3-4 points spread amongst the Reece/IMac/Rohde group. Can Dunn, or anyone else, get up in the 9-10 PPG region and give us a legitimate 4th threat?

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I think we’re in trouble if Rohde isn’t scoring close to 14 a game.

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That’s a heckuva high bar for someone new to the program.

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https://www.si.com/college/virginia/basketball/who-will-be-the-biggest-impact-transfer-for-virginia-basketball-this-season

https://twitter.com/League_Him/status/1711060893969097184

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The defensive possession against Flip culminating with the rejection is a thing of beauty.

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https://twitter.com/UVAMensHoops/status/1711395462949818490/photo/3

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https://www.instagram.com/p/CyLq4xRr1tc/

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Me having to reconsider my Jacob Groves slander after he knocks it out the park with his guilty pleasure song being HALO by Beyonce which is a banger

[insert GIF that I would use if we could post GIFS]

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