Bryce Meccage goes 57th to the Brewers.
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Ethan Anderson goes 61st to the Orioles.
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That’s it for today.
As a recap, GOF and EA both got drafted by the O’s, and so far we lost Bonemer, Dickerson, and Meccage from our HS class.
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No commissioner is better at consistently getting everything wrong.
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I often think MLB is trying to kill the game of baseball… so poorly managed in every aspect.
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Day two is about to start, aka rounds 3-10 of the draft.
I would expect Saucke and Didawick to both go pretty early today, and an outside chance of Woolfolk in the latter half.
As for the high school guys, could be anywhere from 0-5 though I’d be shocked if Gregory-Alford doesn’t go at some point. We’ll see on the other four, Nunnallee’s late rise up the rankings has me concerned and I still think Harris gets taken purely on his high upside.
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Casey Saucke goes 107th to the White Sox.
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We’re through seven rounds. Still no Didawick, still no Jay, still no other HS commits.
I’m not saying we should start to get our hopes up given we’re nowhere near out of the woods yet, especially for the highshoolers. But at this point in my genuinely unbiased opinion the draft slot money has reached a total where Harrison should come back for another year. High likelihood he’d improve his stock while having one more year of leverage left.
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Will Riley, our VMI transfer commit, goes in the 8th round to the Mariners.
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Does he still come or leave?
My guess is he’s gone. Guys who get taken in the first 10 rounds have like a 99% sign percentage since they made the draft 20 rounds.
We are done with today, officially through 10 rounds of the draft and thus past the point where each pick has an approximate slot value. Not the final hurdle to cross, but a big one.
We saw Casey Saucke get drafted, and also likely lost Will Riley, our VMI transfer pitcher/fireballer. But no Didawick, no Woolfolk, no Gregory-Alford, no Harris, no Nunnallee, no Valincius, and no Kirk.
To be completely honest with you guys I’m shocked at how positively this has gone so far. We’re still not out of the woods yet, the HS commits are still at risk but I figured at least 2-3 more of them would be gone by this point + Didawick and maybe Jay.
My best assumption would be that Harrison comes back for another season, just don’t see him taking 11th+ round money when he’s got another year of leverage on the table and a ceiling that isn’t anywhere close to being reached. With regards to Jay we’ll see what happens, would say 50/50 he still gets taken tomorrow but am a little surprised to not see him go yet. As for the HS class, I think it would be in all their best interest to make it onto grounds given their talent level and potential earnings if all goes well, but who knows how much money these organizations have saved up to try and fish any of them into pro ball.
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Woolfolk returning for his senior season. Huge news.
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Thanks for keeping track of this. I haven’t followed this nearly as as closely as I used to, so my expectations might be out of whack, but I genuinely thought Didawick and Woolfolk would be gone.
Didawick clearly turned the corner this year into a genuine power/speed guy and Woolfolk always had the potential, and his emergence during the CWS was the kind of thing that’s gotten guys drafted in the past.
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If we actually got all of those HS kids, we will be absolutely loaded next year (and beyond but specifically that can be a championship competing roster in 2025).
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Your expectations were not out of whack, I thought they were both gone as well.
With Didawick I personally thought he would benefit from another year here, but the draft rankings had him going within the first 5-6 rounds which I figured would be enough to turn him pro. If his development curve continues on an upward path he could work himself into the first round next season, just need to lower the swing and miss rate and figure out why he spikes so many throws from the outfield.
With Jay I think we hit a bit of a perfect storm situation. I’ve pounded a drum all off-season about how it’s a bad decision for rising seniors to return to college if they have a chance to get drafted because of how MLB organizations fuck over prospects with no eligibility remaining, largely because that’s been the precedent set for as long as I’ve been keeping up with our program. But at least in Jay’s case we might be seeing a situation where we have enough of an NIL incentive to make up for what he’d likely make had he gotten drafted anywhere in rounds 11-20, which would be the first time I personally remember that being a possibility for us. It could also be that Jay is a die hard for the program and wants to finish up his degree, and/or he sees an opportunity to continue on the momentum he created at the end of the year and raise his draft stock into the first three rounds of the 2025 draft, can’t rule those reasons out. Regardless him returning is a major surprise to me, our pitching depth as it stands right now going into next season is looking very good on paper.
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Maybe I’m counting chickens too early, but do we think Harris could DH day 1? What about Nunnallee in the OF?
Will try to sort through all the different options once the draft is done, but we had a surplus of talent before all of this transpired so there’s gonna be a lot of very intriguing shuffling and position battles going on during fall practice.
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For comparison with those Future Star Series’ rankings:
Drafted Thus Far (10 rounds / 315 picks done):
Griff O’Ferrall - 32nd - $2.8mm Slot
Caleb Bonemer (HS Commit) - 43rd - $2.2mm Slot
Luke Dickerson (HS Commit) - 44th - $2.1mm Slot
Bryce Meccage (HS Commit) - 57th - $1.6mm Slot
Ethan Anderson - 61st - $1.4mm Slot
Casey Saucke - 107th - $683k Slot
Will Riley (VMI transfer) - 243rd - $213k slot
Undrafted thus far:
Trey Gregory-Alford (HS Commit) - MLB’s #105 Draft Prospect
James Nunnallee (HS Commit) - MLB’s #200 Draft Prospect
Harrison Didawick - MLB’s #125 Draft Prospect
William Kirk (HS Commit) - MLB’s #110 Draft Prospect
Tomas Valincius (HS Commit) - MLB’s #107 Draft Prospect
Jacob Ference
Jay Woolfolk - MLB’s #250 Draft Prospect
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