The way I look at it, we could have gotten a 3-seed while playing this very schedule. We probably wonât, because weâre a 4-seed-quality team, so our performance (including margins) was worse than a 3-seed-quality team would have gotten against this same schedule. Thatâs fine! Not the scheduleâs fault.
The schedule even gave us the opportunity to get a 1-seed if we went undefeated. But weâre not good enough to do that. 4 seems about right.
We canât Michigan State anyone if we arenât under seeded!
Went on a food tour in NC this weekend. A couple on the tour both went to UMBC. I brought up the game, and he was impressed. He said heâd never had a UVA fan be the one to bring it up before. He was complimentary as well - about how it all worked out the next year.
might still get a 3 seed with this schedule
Maybe Iâm missing something, but I donât see as much opportunity for âscheduling arbitrageâ if (big if) the committee cares more about WAB/other resume metrics vs. quadrant wins/losses. Especially for power conference teams that have like +8 worth of potential WAB from their conference schedule.
I think thatâs goodâŚteams should schedule games that are compelling/helpful for prep/in good locations for their fans to watch, etc etc.
Any fans in particular? Do their last names rhyme with rainy?
Or a VT natty in any sport.
Letâs go Santa Clara. Their head coach (Herb Sendek) used to be my next door neighbor when he was at NC State
Gonzaga canât rebound worth a damn
I wonder if theyâll end up a 4 if they lose to Santa Clara here.
no way theyâre still a 3 if they lose this game
Certainly would help out 3 seed chances if they lose
I just hope the committee considers them as they are now and not what they were in November when they beat Bama with Huff. Gonzaga without Huff is not a 3 seed, and I donât even think itâs debatable. Theyâre 13 on BT. Since Huffâs injury, theyâre 21. I think even a 4 seed might be pushing it.
Auburn might mess around and get in the tournament just by doing absolutely nothing while the bubble just craters around them.
2 main reasons I want to get off the 4 line:
3 seed means facing a 2 seed at best if we were to make it to the sweet sixteen (wayyy different than a 1 seed this year)
It feels inevitable that if we are a 4 we are gonna get Arkansas as the 5 seed who is top 10 on Torvik since February and has Acuff⌠that draw would just piss me off
Plus, thereâs a very substantive difference between the 13s and 14s this year. Playing UNI would be much less of a sure thing than Iâd like.
12 seed line and below might get a little softer because of the Ivy League tournament. Yale by far the best team in the league by the predictive metrics, but only a 37% chance to win the tournament on T-Rank because their semifinal opponent is Cornell, who just happens to be the host due to a predetermined rotation of host sites.
Maybe Fran and TJP a 14 to our 3?
