Thread for all the ins and outs of seeding, resume comparison, and plenty of what-ifs before selection Sunday on March 15th.
According to http://www.bracketmatrix.com/ right now UVA would be the last 4 seed.
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Performing a little thread hygiene by linking my reply to @haney on a bracketology topic here:
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Best case scenario I can think of:
- UVA wins both games this week
- Louisville finishes 7th in the ACC
- UVA wins against Louisville, Miami or UNC, and beats Duke in the Championship
This would get UVA 3 Q1 wins and maybe 3 of those being Q1A and a conference title. There’s so many Big Ten and Big 12 teams in the mix that only 2 per conference can really beef up their resume more than we could so in my dream scenario, we could capture a 2 seed with enough chaos, more likely 3.
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They are my last 4 seed. My entry on bracketmatrix is RWX and you can check out my track record over the years
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Might be missing it but it looks like bracketmatrix doesn’t have you counted any longer? Only seeing 94 entries as opposed to the 104 or so that used to be there.
Edit: may be he just caught off anything older than 2/27 and hasn’t gotten to the 3/2 updates yet.
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Catching a stray from Dauster in this debate.
I think he really wanted to use the Auburn upset by Yale example so not reading into this as Field of 68 bias as I imagine some of our fans will. Also just a dumb comparison generally though.
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Bad take since like Miami (OH), our at-large case that season depended on resume metrics being better than the predictive metrics.
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Also dumb because Yale was AQ not at large.
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Seems like you’re much higher on UNC. I guess there’s a path for them to rise if Wilson comes back and they win a few games with him. Idk if that’s gonna happen though.
Sorry, saw this right after I replied over there already
Two wins over Duke and @UVA are impressive. I also think the committee will view them a little higher than their metrics if they play well again when Wilson returns.
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Carolina has been playing just fine without Wilson though…. I don’t know if anyone noticed it was the factor of having him out with Veesar at the same time that hurt them but now that Veesar is back, they are winning easily.
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FWIW (not a lot, I’m washed, former (tied) matrix champion from the final RPI year - now ranked in the 20s) here is my bracket from today.
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This looks about right to me, except for Indiana making it.
So squarely in the sights of Liberty and High Point?
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And UNC-Wilmington. There are a lot of mid majors that give me heart attacks still.
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Good/bad news is half of them will lose next week.
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Yea the last spot is rough. We should just cap it at 67 this year.
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I like the Liberty matchup. Most of that roster is chicken dinner for De Ridder.
Haven’t thought much about the others, but if you buy into the Giant Killer/whatever they call it now at the Athletic methodology, we do not profile as a vulnerable favorite because of our ability to offensive rebound and because we try to prevent 3s. Qualitatively, we are a strength-and-size team that can bully smaller mid-major teams.
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I think that’s right. We basically didn’t play any mid or low majors close at all. We have a ton of size.
We play bully ball and are pretty good at it til a real bully with two front court guys who will be first rounders pulls up. But fortunately there aren’t a ton of those out there. They will probably be 1 seeds though, so tough for the plight of the 4 seeder.
You could honestly talk me into a 6 seed over a 5 seed if we had to drop some.. The 1s seem unbeatable, I might rather take my chances against 2s and 3s (non-Florida division).
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