Just wrapped up my initial bracketology for the year. Will shift a bit during this week and champ week. Only showing 1-11 seeds since the rest are just determined by autobid so not really any need to do those until those tournaments are done (also brain dead after doing the 1st 46 teams)
I’d be ok with that draw. Yes, Liberty can shoot the 3 but they are small and State beat them by 40. Think we’d fare much better against Vandy this time around as well.
That said, I’d rather avoid them so I can root for Richie
Huh. I was pretty sure that being a 6 seed > 4/5 seed, but history doesn’t seem to agree. Far more 4/5 seeds have made FF and Champ game than 6/7 seeds. If anything, 6/7 seeds are underrepresented. 8 seeds have made the FF as many times as 6 and 7 seeds combined, and have more champ game appearances.
I guess I’m good with being a 4-seed after all. 3-seed would obviously be better, but after the Duke-nuking, I think that’s off the table.
I think the 4-5s win their 1st round games far more often than the 6-7s, especially the 4s. I also imagine that 6-7s are well under 500 in the 2nd round whereas 4-5s are slightly above 500 (since they’re playing each other or a 12-13). Once you get to the S16 though, 6-7s playing 2-3s have to be better than 4-5s generally playing 1s. As for 8s, once they hit the S16, they’ve already beaten the best team in the region. I wouldn’t be surprised if the record for 8-9s in the S16 is far better than their record in the R32.
The 6 line is pretty weak right now unless BYU turns it around, also the SEC is clogging up the 5/6 line so only so many teams can move up without others having to move down. If we win tonight I think the worst becomes a 5 seed.
For a shot at the 3, there are 5 Big Ten teams that are 3 seeds and higher, only 4 can make the semi-finals so that leaves 1 catchable if it’s the right team (Purdue, Nebraska). We win both games this week I think we’re safe as a 4 regardless of ACCT result.
I kinda think we’d have to at least make the ACC Title game to get a three and would have to lose twice to get a five, but it’s hard to say without the context of the teams around us
Assuming the ACC QF loss is Q1 (potentially Q1A if it’s Louisville) I doubt we get passed unless the SEC 5 seeds make a run or UNC beats Duke again. We will see
So what needs to happen for the Hoos to be able to play in Philadelphia, Greenville or Buffalo (in that order) in the 1st (and 2nd) rounds? What is my potential rooting interest here other than a lot of winning. Is Philadelphia effectively off the table barring Michigan losing out from here?