I talked to my seeding guy. He says we’re a 3 seed.
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No they are a lock. 9/10 border, a loss is a definitely 10 I would think. GW has a NET of 91 so not even technically a bad loss.
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I want Miami-Ohio in the tourney because it would be fun, but after seeing the discourse about them on gen-pop Twitter*, I’m starting to change my mind. The pro-Miami-Ohio contingent is hysterical and I would love for them to seethe.
https://x.com/HoopsHopeCBB/status/2032153944315871307
https://x.com/wilnerhotline/status/2032478756426965420
*Lesson: Never visit gen-pop twitter
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Opponent is more complicated because of bracketing principles. 3 seeds donhave a noticeably higher 1st round winning % than 4 seeds though
It absolutely matters for location with the protected seeds since they assign the pod locations in order of the S curve of the top seed in each pod. So we could see something like Purdue in Tampa or Philly or Greenville and us all the way in Portland if they are one spot ahead of us on the S curve
CBS/On3 bracket matches us up with in my opinion by far the best 13 seed (Northern Iowa) and 5 seed (Arkansas). That would be a true screw job
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Hopefully UNC drops to a 6 seed so they’re not a 5 seed the committee is having us avoid if we do end up a 4. We want as many options that aren’t Arkansas as possible lol
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Curse of the contract extension, guaranteed to jinx their next outing.
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I assume you are using RMSE rather than correlation but are you including 13-16 seeds? These were the correlations for at large level teams last year
WAB .95
Resume Avg .94
SOR .91
KPI .87
NET .86
KenPom .85
Predictive Avg .82
T-Rank .80
BPI .78
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Who needs AI when I can just have @crazysportsdude running my numbers for me
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Just MAE, I saved all the values and calculated on the Tuesday after the bracket to not account for any change in the numbers from tournamennt results. I just did the top 52 teams.
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Nah, coaches gotta maximize their positioning for the NCAAs. Mark Few would be negligent if he wasn’t working the committee. Here’s SMU doing the same thing.
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“Also, the team has been working on some new plays that should really turn things around”
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Better than Tech conceding their out and declining the NIT early!
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It would be like UNC saying “actually Caleb Wilson is gonna be totally fine in 2 weeks. Please give us a 5 seed.”
Huff is done. Everyone knows he’s done. Gonzaga had not given an update on him in weeks. only reason they’re doing it now is they know they’re competing tightly for a 3-4 seed against teams with better resumes.
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They might put Bama on the 3 line and Purdue on the 4 line to ease the Big Ten glut of 2-3-6-7 seeds and the SEC glut on the 4-5 lines. It would make bracketing a lot easier.
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Ohio State just gave Michigan all the Wolverines could handle.
Looking like a pretty good neutral court win for us.
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Same with Duke saying Foster is out ‘for the foreseeable future’ not for the year. Everyone does it, it’s just the game
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Mike DeCourcy ran down some of the examples recently:
correction - nc state and smu are still in the net top 40. I must have been looking at WAB.
Also LSU dropping out of the top 75 could hurt a few SEC teams
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Really don’t want to play Arkansas in ththe 4/5 game. Feel like we need to add Wiscy to that list as well.
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