KU blowout now final. This has been an A++ day for UVA’s 3 seed chances.
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Despite not playing the greatest schedule, at 9-3 in Q1 wins we are tied for fifth most wins (behind only Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and Florida). And of the teams with 9, we have the best Q1 win percentage.
We have more Q1 wins than Michigan State, Iowa State, Gonzaga, Alabama, and Illinois. For whatever that’s worth. Although we’re behind some of them in Q1-A wins of course.
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UVA should jump MSU, ISU and Nebraska in the updated WAB rankings tomorrow.
Even IF UVA loses to Duke tomorrow, I think the lowest they can finish in WAB will be 9th (and that would mean Purdue and Vandy or Arkansas winning their respective titles).
Q1 will be 8-3 in the morning. Blow out of Miami is going to kill out Q1 win against them at home.
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We should absolutely be a 3 seed win or lose tomorrow. If we win you have to consider a 2. But honestly I’m fine either way. As long as we’re off the 4 line like we should be.
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I feel like you guys may be giving the committee too much credit. They’ll have already seeded the first few lines well before the game today even tipped. I kind of think we would need to have been ahead this morning (possible) or else need to beat Duke to force them to reevaluate. Maybe the jump in the predictives can get them to scrub even with a close loss. I hope I’m wrong but it feels like the Fri-Sun games always get a little buried.
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7th in WAB and SOR this morning.
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The only thing lacking, relatively speaking, is our predictives. So, try not to get blown out tonight.
I’m not sure a close game gets us the 3 though. The committee reeeaally likes to lock stuff up before conference tourneys, pending only really wild results.
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Looks like 7 is officially our best and 9 would be our worst for WAB. Purdue and Vandy still have 2 games to pass us and our number seems catchable with their potential remaining opponents.
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I want to see how they seed a 30-4 ACCT champion.
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I personally think we’re a lock for a 3 seed. We’ve got 29 wins, as many Q1 wins as the teams we’re competing against for it, and our advanced metrics and WAB are comparable or better now. And the ACC had a very solid year - I just don’t think the committee is going to put five BIG teams over the ACC runner up with 29 wins.
But I also know nothing so there’s that.
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I wondered who the committee chair and members are this year? Like if Babcock is the ACC rep then we’re getting a 4
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After doing some morning perusing, I think if we win tonight we are 50/50 for the final 2 seed, maybe even better than that. If we lose a close one, I think we are almost certainly a 3. And if we have a repeat of game 1 against the Dookies, we run the risk of dropping back to a 4.
Let’s win and get that 2 seed.
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Sun Belt Commissionr is the chair. Syracuse AD is on the committee.
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Looks like Bama AD as well. They’ll be getting a 3 seed
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Barring a blowout loss tonight (certainly possible), we should absolutely be a 3. A 4 would be a travesty and 100% proof that the committee doesn’t care about champ week. There’s no good justification for having Gonzaga or Alabama ahead of us after our jump in predictives.
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I saw on Katz’s twitter (interview with Gavitt) that the committee “initially” seeded the three line before lunch yesterday. Make of that what you will.
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Well hope they enjoyed the basketball buffet we served up for dinner!!!
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Whatever, screw the committee, if this was a 29 win UNC team w our resume they’d safely be a 3, in discussion for a 2 w a win tonight. Let’s face it, we’re gonna need to come out in the round of 32 and beat one of the 5 seed SEC teams. I ain’t scared.
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Not after losing to Ole Miss….
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