Yeah, I basically agree. I think we will see marginal improvement if we go with more continuity. And that could be good! But I don’t think marginal improvements make us a top 20ish team.
I think my optimism is more in the discontinuity choices we have (though, admittedly, there would be growing pains that might not be worth the trade).
Last year 68 teams made the dance and UVA was seeded about 22nd of the 32 NIT teams.
That placed them about 90th. And if we think we were better than 90th - how did we fare against the small schools we played in the NIT who were also 70-90th? …with good Armaan by the way
So on the high end of continuity:
We have the same cast except BVP takes Stattmann minutes (16m) and McKneely takes Poindexter minutes (6m) and Murray keeps his (4m).
On the low end of continuity:
Reece goes from 35m to 30m a game
Clark goes from 36m to 12m a game.
Gardner goes from 33m to 24m a game.
Shedrick goes from 21m to 27m a game.
Franklin goes from 30m to 22m a game.
Caffaro goes from 18m to 2m a game.
=117
BVP gets 20
Traudt gets 20
McKneely gets 23
Taine/Bond/Dunn get 20
=83 + 117 = 200m per game
I can’t see a scenario where the trade wouldn’t be worth it …
by the way some of it is a false premise too ..
For example there are moles inside that are saying Traudt is the best big on the team today … not by next year or the end of this year … right now. That includes Sheds, Papi, Gardner, BVP.
And I don’t think there’s anyone who would say anyone other than the 2 Isaac’s are the best shooters on the team.
I’d love to see minutes more in line with what I posted above for a true ceiling version of what this team could be in March… but I also think it’s true of our ceiling in December.
If no one plays more than 30m a game this can be true…
Also - curious - when you played - how many guys had the green light to bring the ball up in transition?
This is a sneaky reason we didn’t do it much the last few years…
I wouldn’t trust anyone except Reece and Clark last year to do it.
This year I would allow - those 2 plus McKneely plus Taine plus Traudt and maybe even BVP.
I think everyone had the green light to get it going in transition in our days. Shit Ted Jeffries, more than capable, put it on the floor and pushed it from time to time. Old heads will remember Cornell Parke as a SF doing it all the time.
We never had a hard rule as long as the flow was getting the team downhill