🏀 ACC Men's Basketball - Week 12: 20-26 January 2025

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Away Home Time Location Links
Boston CollegeBoston College VirginiaVirginia 7:00 P.M. ET Charlottesville, VA (Conf.) TV: ACCN Radio: WEEI 850 AM Video
LouisvilleLouisville SMUSMU 9:00 P.M. ET Dallas, Texas (Conf.) TV: ACCN
North CarolinaNorth Carolina Wake ForestWake Forest 9:00 P.M. ET Winston-Salem, N.C. (Conf.) TV: ESPN Stats

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Away Home Time Location Links
SyracuseSyracuse ClemsonClemson 7:00 P.M. ET Clemson, SC (Conf.) TV: ACC Network Radio: TK99/105
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 7:00 P.M. ET Atlanta, GA (Conf.) TV: ESPN2/U
Florida StateFlorida State CaliforniaCalifornia 9:00 P.M. ET Berkeley, CA (Conf.) TV: ACC Network
MiamiMiami StanfordStanford 11:00 P.M. ET Stanford, CA (Conf.) TV: ESPN2/U

Saturday, January 25, 2025

Away Home Time Location Links
SMUSMU NC StateNC State 12:00 P.M. ET Raleigh, NC (Conf.) TV: The CW
PittPitt SyracuseSyracuse 12:30 P.M. ET Syracuse, N.Y. (Conf.) TV: ESPN2 Stats Radio: TK99/105
Boston CollegeBoston College North CarolinaNorth Carolina 2:15 P.M. ET Chapel Hill, NC (Conf.) TV: The CW Stats Radio: WEEI 850 AM Video
DukeDuke Wake ForestWake Forest 4:30 P.M. ET Winston-Salem, NC (Conf.) TV: ESPN
ClemsonClemson Virginia TechVirginia Tech 5:00 P.M. ET Blacksburg, VA (Conf.) TV: ACCN
Notre DameNotre Dame VirginiaVirginia 6:30 P.M. ET Charlottesville, VA (Conf.) TV: ESPN2
Florida StateFlorida State StanfordStanford 7:00 P.M. ET Stanford, CA (Conf.) TV: ACC Network
MiamiMiami CaliforniaCalifornia 8:30 P.M. ET Berkeley, CA (Conf.) TV: ESPN/2/U
1 Like

ACCT Bubble Watch

Rooting against Syracuse, Cal, and Miami on Wednesday. VT/GT is mostly a wash-- probably a slight preference for bubble purposes for VT to win, but a huge preference for other reasons for GT to beat the turkeys.

Current projected ACC wins (Torvik), bottom 3 miss out:

Virginia Tech 7.22 (home 2/1, away 2/15)
NC State 7.11 (UVA holds H2H tiebreak)
Georgia Tech 6.93 (home 2/8)
Syracuse 6.92 (away 3/8)
Cal 6.81 (holds H2H tiebreak over UVA)
----------------------
UVA 6.03
BC 3.91 (home Tues)
Miami 3.3 (away 1/29)

4 Likes

Would we rather?

  • Not make the ACC tournament and be quick to start the coaching searching negotiations
  • Make the ACC tournament and get blown out in the first round and be a little later to the coaching search and negotiations
  • Make the ACC tournament and win a couple rounds and be even later
0 voters

I vote win games because at that particular point I don’t think the negotiations would be any farther along than they are at this point. Atleast not for anyone we’d want or be involved with… highly doubt things get serious with anyone beyond what we’re capable of checking in on now until seasons are over.

7 Likes

I think it’ll move fast as seasons end. My guess is the Monday after our candidate’s season ends. But I also think it’ll be basically pre-baked with a day or so to finalize details,

3 Likes

Correct. It’ll stay close to the vest until atleast first weekend of NCAA’s is over. I would say it’s more likely we have a new coach within 1 week of that coaches season ending than that it would take longer than 1 week.

5 Likes

Yeah there’s probably not a scenario where the guy we hire has his season end before ours outside of a miracle Hoo run to get into the Acc tournament and then another miracle to win it.

Or maybe a minor miracle to get to a winning regular season record to have a shot at the NIT or CBI?

1 Like

Unless you have bona fide insider connections, in which case you would already know the identity of the next coach, as I do.

I’m sworn to secrecy, of course, but one thing I can share is that exactly nobody is going to be happy with the choice. I mean, it’s a really bad choice. I’m pretty upset about it. If yall think this season is bad, wait until all the rest of them.

Hubert Davis needs to chill out on the sidelines. He’s so over animated like he thinks behaving like that will make him a better coach lol. He clearly graduated from the School of Dan Hurley sideline antics

1 Like

Louisville is crushing SMU at SMU.

2 Likes

Destroying SMU’s fake ranking haha They’ve been the ultimate fool’s gold the entire time. Should’ve beat them twice, uggh.

8 Likes

If my math is right this means that Louisville should beat Miami by around 70 points when they play.

2 Likes

Does Wake Forest make the NCAA Tournament?

  • yes
  • no
0 voters
1 Like

Wow. They’re 14-4 with a great early season win against Michigan. Next best team they’ve beaten? At home against Stanford. Yikes.

I’m voting “no”.

Edit - I wrote this assuming WF would lose to UNC. Its now looking like they actually might win, so I’m doubting it.

Edit2 - Wow. Wake tried to give it away there at the end, but just barely hung on for the win.

2 Likes

It’s amazing that their resume is about the same every year. Never any awful losses, but consistently good at falling on their face when they need to win a Q1 game.

3 Likes

Will UNC make the tournament? Seems like they’ll have at least 11 losses plus another in the ACCT

2 Likes

ACCT Bubble Watch

Rooting against Syracuse, Cal, Miami, and GT today though VT/GT is mostly a wash.

BC and Miami look like locks for 17th and 18th, so only one of the other teams will be left out. At the moment, our win total is in that 16th (out) spot, but we are definitely more likely than not to finish 15th or better.

Current projected ACC wins (Torvik), bottom 3 miss out (actually didn’t update any totals except ours and BC, so the others are probably off by up to 0.1).

Virginia Tech 7.22 (home 2/1, away 2/15)
NC State 7.11 (UVA holds H2H tiebreak)
Georgia Tech 6.93 (home 2/8)
Syracuse 6.92 (away 3/8)
Cal 6.81 (holds H2H tiebreak over UVA)
----------------------
UVA 6.62, +0.59 after win over BC (0.23 wins better than expected, and the lopsided result increased future win probabilities by 0.36 cumulatively)
BC 3.5 (UVA holds H2H tiebreak), -0.41 after loss at UVA
Miami 3.3 (away Wed)

Our next two games, which are practically tossups, home vs ND and @Miami, both jumped about one point in our favor (to being one point favorites) and 5% to 55% and 54% wins after our drubbing of BC.

4 Likes

Louisville is set up to finish the rest of the regular season undefeated and end up as a top 10 team.

Kudos to Pat Kelsey in his first season with 3 key guys out with injuries.

Pat Kelsey’s Charleston team was 101 in last year’s Kenpom but they were 27-8 with a top 60 offense.

(For comparison, Odom’s VCU team is currently 37th with a top 20 defense, and Vanderbilt is 48th with a top 50 offense and top 80 defense)

5 Likes

Makes me think, would Odom’s jump to UVA be all that different from Kelsey’s to Louisville? Kelsey made 2 tournaments at CofC winning the regular season & tournament (in a much worse conference than VCU or Utah State) and made 3 the same way at Winthrop plus another regular season title. Never won a tournament game.

Odom has won one conference regular season with a chance to win this year with VCU and does have a tournament win plus another at large appearance (also throw in a D2 Sweet Sixteen at Lenoir Rhyne)

The biggest difference in my eye is Kelsey has had much more regular season success but in terms of the jump, Big South & CAA to ACC is much bigger than Mountain West & A10.

Kelsey is the better offensive coach and Louisville also gave him a shit ton of NIL money to play with. Something to consider.

1 Like