Watch us make the NIT and get stuck having to play VT again. Only way this season could end worse is a loss to them lol
5 Likes
From Eamonn Brennan. This comment is about Providence, but it nicely sums up the situation for everyone in the vicinity of the cut-line:
Itâs not clear cut, the Friars are in the very narrow bubble mix, and all we can do now is see what the committee prioritizes.
He also pointedly summed things up in another way (this one from the Indiana State blurb):
Blame NC State.
1 Like
Purely theoretical/ hypothetical, but say that UVA beat NC State and lost to UNC.
Would UVA still have missed in your bracket? Or would they have leap frogged Oklahoma with that extra Q2 win?
Raleigh Hoo knows what heâs talking about and I donât, but Iâd say an extra Q2 win or loss makes no meaningful difference at all. But the shift in SOR might. We dropped from 25 to 33 after losing to NC State (have since moved back up to 30). Having a really, really good SOR might have made us âun-excludableâ to the committee.
It is hard to say for sure, because I am not sure what our metrics would have looked like. But my guess is that yes, they would have been ahead of Oklahoma and/or St. Johns and in my field.
1 Like
25-30 is negligible
If we canât have good things, then some of our ârivalsâ canât, either. Big Duquesne fan today.
1 Like
Last year, Rutgers was in 218 of the final 229 (95%) brackets in the bracket matrix and didnt make it.
2022 Texas A&M wsa in 200 of the final 211 (95%) brackets and didnt make it.
In 2021 Louisville was 186 of the final 203 (92%) brackets and didnt make it.
In 2019 TCU was in 182 of the final 195 (93%) brackets and didnt make it
In 2018 USC was in 173 of the final 187 (93%) and didnt make it. St. Marys was in 87/187 brackets (47%) and didnt make it. That year Syracuse was only in 23/187 (12%) and made it.
Recent history tells us that is very likely the bracket matrix will have one team wrong. If that is the case, I think UVA has a 50/50 shot to replace whatever team that is.
I still give us though something like a 25% chance to get in. But there is a chance.
4 Likes
Oklahoma garbage
2 Likes
Is VCU a rival? Theyâre my #2 team.
1 Like
Folks, if we do get in, be prepared for an insane amount of hate.
Letâs all be clear rules for engaging if you come across a H8er. Do NOT respond on the merits. There are only two appropriate responses: Tell them to âeat shitâ or something else undesirable OR send this GIF.
7 Likes
I think on Twitter, âcry moreâ is eat shitâs equivalent.
2 Likes
Holy shit.
Whatâs going on with this bracket? Were there so many bid thieves that BM is predicting 10-seeds to Dayton? I donât followâŠ
1 Like
Can somebody print this out as a 5â x 5â poster and hang it in the NCAA committee room?
4 Likes
My projected 11 seeds are now all AQs Oregon, NC State, Drake, Grand Canyon.
Thus the final four in will be competing for 2 10 seeds.
2 Likes
That is and always has been our strongest argument along with no bad losses. The good thing is the committee values those over the predictive metrics (KenPom, BPI).
5 Likes
My nerdy statistics tell me that MSU sucks and shouldnât be in the field. 8th place finish in a mediocre, at best, Big Ten conference in which they went 10-10. No way they belong.
2 Likes