Last week we got things going the right way and got back onto the winning track. This week we take all my learnings and triple down because 29-38 on the year is not good enough. I’m trying to retire.
NC State +2 vs. Wake Forest
NC State has burnt me twice this season and Wake burnt me last week. I’m banking on a bit of a letdown/hangover effect for Wake after suffering a collapse and first lost of the season last weekend. NC State +2.
Syracuse +3 vs. Louisville
Cuse has covered every game this season (crazy right?!?) Cunningham’s status is in question for Louisville, and if he’s not 100% whatever small chance the Cardinals had is out the window. Syracuse +3
Oklahoma vs. Baylor Over 62.5
Baylor ranks in the top 20 nationally in scoring offense 36.5 ppg. The Oklahoma Sooners offense came alive when Caleb Williams took over and are averaging 48.5 ppg. However, the defense is now giving up 30.7 ppg. You better believe this is going to a classic Big 12 shootout. Over 62.5
Georgia St. +10.5 vs. Coastal Carolina
Grayson McCall is out for Coastal Carolina as was the case last week and The Chants rolled behind backup QB Bryce Carpenter. Georgia State is not very good but there’s a ton of money coming in on this one moving the line from +8 to +10.5. That feels a bit too much give me Georgia State +10.5.
South Carolina vs. Missouri Over 54.5
Mizzu is horrible and gives up 36.5 ppg. South Carolina is found their mojo last week throttling Florida and possible ending Dan Mullins career. This game has home run big plays written all over it. Over 54.5
Arkansas -2.5 vs. LSU
WOMPIN The Razorbacks got their groove back last week against Miss St. and they keep it rolling this weekend. Coach O is even more checked out than normal at this point of the season. Arkansas -2.5.
Texas A&M -2.5 vs. Ole Miss
The Aggies are strong up front and both their lines have played extremely well since they got womped by Arkansas. Ole Miss has slowed from the typical Lane Kiffen Juggernaut we are used to seeing. A lot of this has to do with Matt Carrol being banged up. Lane would love nothing more than to stick it to Jimbo, but it won’t happen this year Texas A&M -2.5.
San Diego St. -2.5 vs. Nevada
Got to love chasing late night. Beyond that, Nevada is soft against the run and gives up chunks of yardage. San Diego St. is a run first group which also allows them to control the clock and the ball starting the WolfPacks offense. Nevada likes to attack through the air, but with limited possessions they will feel pressed to score against a stout Aztecs defense. San Diego St. -2.5
Notre Dame -5 vs. Virginia Over 64.5
As of this writing (Friday) I do not know the status of Brennan Armstrong is unknown. Even if he does give it a go on Saturday night he won’t be 100%. Broken ribs can be played through but it’s not easy and given the amount of the load BA has to carry for the Hoos it’s likely too much for him to handle. Without BA Virginia has no chance, with BA they have a shot but I still like ND to cover. If BA is on the field the O/U is an easy over. So bet ND -5 and take the over 64.5 you’ll cover yourself either way.