Miami game thread

Virginia, now ranked 6th, faces 22nd ranked Miami in the first conference road test of the season for the Wahoos. 8:30 PM Eastern Tuesday night on ACC Network.

About Miami

Head Coach Jim Larranaga has two starters back from last season’s Elite Eight team. He added a pair of high-end transfers to the mix as well. They’re one of the top offensive teams in the country (12th by KenPom), but not so great defensively (123rd). That’s a similar split as they had last year.

The Hurricanes enter with an 11-1 record, already 2-0 in the ACC with wins over NC State and Louisville. Their only loss came at the hands of Maryland. Non-conference wins include Rutgers, Central Florida, and Providence. So far, they look like an upper echelon ACC team. The efficiency formulas don’t love them nearly as much as the polls though. They’re at 60th in the NCAA’s NET rankings.

Miami’s Personnel

Isaiah Wong 6’3 Sr Guard (16.7 PPG). He’s as good of a bucket-getter as there is in the league. Has taken on more of a playmaker role this year, leading the team with 4.4 assists.

Nigel Pack 6’0 Jr Guard (11.3 PPG). First-team All-Big 12 at Kansas State last season. He hasn’t shot the 3 nearly as well so far, at 33%. Missed Saturday’s game with an illness.

Wooga Poplar 6’5 So Guard (8.3 PPG). Athletic slashing guard is having a breakout sophomore year.

Jordan Miller 6’6 Sr Forward (15.1 PPG). Super senior is relied on to score more this year. Really a big guard at the 4 spot, he’s a tough cover.

Norchad Omier 6’7 Jr Forward (13.8 PPG). Arkansas State transfer is a beast. Physical and athletic, he dominates the glass. Has scored in double figures in every game but one. Their only shot blocker too. He’s their most important player.

Reserves

Sophomore guard Bensley Joseph (6.4 PPG) is getting heavy minutes off the bench. He leads the team at 42% from three. Junior guard Harlond Beverly (2.3 PPG) is playing more lately after working his way back from injury. He’s really good defensively. And senior forward Anthony Walker (2.8 PPG) backs up the frontline.

Bullet Points

-They play small. UVA will probably match with Vander Plas/Gardner when Shedrick rests. Tough defensive assignments all around. Miami has been vulnerable to giving up offensive rebounds though.

-Miami is great at getting steals and turning them into easy points. Must take care of the ball.

-They’re an okay 3-point shooting team, 34%. But great inside the arc, 57%. Their small lineup provides spacing and they’re really good at creating off the bounce. 2nd chance points are a big part of the equation too, led by Omier.

-In UVA’s two wins over Miami last year, Isaiah Wong only averaged 8 points on 35 FG%. Total credit to Reece Beekman. It’ll be a big ask for Reece this time at less than 100% on a short turnaround.

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Much like last year they’re gonna press up on the perimeter to try and force steals for easy points in transition. Only difference is that last year they had no rim protectors on their team to help cover on blown assignments, and this year they have one in Omier. He’ll be the key to this game for both them and us, they’re a pretty mediocre defensive team in general but if you take him out of the game they’re awful and struggle heavily with rebounding. Not overly worried about Wong so long as Reece is on him, and I think Kihei will do fine checking Pack. Their wings worry me a bit, Miller in particular will be a tough cover so hopefully Jayden is up to the challenge. I’d like to see Papi get some minutes and maybe a few post touches in this game, Omier isn’t gonna draw him out to the perimeter defensively so he’ll be able to hedge on ball screens without worrying about a pick and pop.

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Dam I didnt realise Miami was sneaky good. But I guess they are always sneaky good. 85-73 Hoos

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Tough turn around here. Play a top 5 team at home and then have to head immediately to Miami for a top 25 road game. Don’t feel good about it esp if we still have a less-than-100% Reece.

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Miami as a top 25 road game is a stretch (yes, they are ranked). As mentioned, fomulas don’t love them so much - 48 on Kenpom, 62 on Torvik (we’re 11 and 20, respectively). They are a good offensive team per metrics (12 (K) and 10 (T) in offensive efficiency), but a pretty mediocre to bad defensive team (123/127). For comparison, we are 12/24 offensively and 27/38 defensively).

I’d like to think Shed and Gardner can go to town inside or even BvP/Gardner. No long athletic wings to kill us. I’m thinking 74-65 good guys

That being said, we go 5-22 from 3 land and they go something like 14-25. It’ll kill me.

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This could be a good game for Gardner to feast inside. Even though Miller presents a tough matchup for us defensively, he’s gonna have a hell of a time trying to guard Jayden on post ups where he’s at a 40 lbs. disadvantage.

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Miami is top 25 but will the stadium resemble that? Recalk that place being pretty empty most nights.

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I don’t remember the last time we played at Miami when it wasn’t the exam break. Boston College too

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UVA/Miami line opens UVA -2


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UVA leader in efficiency so far:

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Good emotional hedge value.

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That being said, we go 5-22 from 3 land and they go something like 14-25. It’ll kill me.

This is exactly what is going to happen.

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And then Miami won’t make 14 3s total in their next 4 games. I hate basketball sometimes.

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Got some nice getting off the bus footage https://www.instagram.com/reel/CmX1N6AOrYT/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

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Two great lefties there

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63-60 good guys

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Lol I hope Papi wears that flag cape to the game. At least warmups before Tony makes him take it off.

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I like this take. I know midrange is Jayden’s thing, but I like when he attacks quick and tries to get all the way to the rim, he’s had some good games of foul-drawing as a result.

Jayden’s increased defensive agility compared to where he was at last season is a big positive here in the matchup with Miller.

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