Iām skeptical of the NBA hires. But weāll see. What I do find interesting is that FSU/Miami have already made their moves.
Now is that because their top targets arenāt currently at the helm of another program or because they prioritized moving fast? Probably the latter.
They werenāt fishing in the same pond as UVA (except maybe Miami/Pitino) so I donāt think it puts any pressure on us. And I also expect us to move quickly once our target(s) exit the tournament. Just interesting to compare how other schools were approaching their hires.
Iād put Woodson (Woody) more in the nostalgia bucket. He basically appealed to the Knight faction of the IU fanbase. He was always pretty meh in the NBA. Not really highly sought after
These new guys are different. And honestly, not necessarily better. Just a bit younger and more unproven. All were assistants.
Agree, that itās notable that FSU and Miami have take notably different approaches to each other and to what we seem to be doing.
As a huge Kings fan (whyyyyyyyyy???), I can vouch for Loucks. Great coach, great developer of talent. Largely credited with helping to elevate Keon Ellis from UDFA to impact NBA starter.
This is a good hire for FSU. Think it bears fruit pretty quickly.
I disagree. If the market has any efficiency at all, then āhome run swingsā should have worse mean and median results than āsafe hires,ā but they should provide a higher chance of a home run (excellent hire.)
But realistically I donāt think thereās anything the conference can do to match the SEC in basketball until we match the SECās basketball spending.
The ACC trying to get more talented coaches than the SEC is a little like playing blackjack against the house. They have more resources and may well be more attractive overall. Similarly, even if you play blackjack perfectly, your chance of being net ahead on a given hand is only ~47%. So, playing it safe (the equivalent of playing lots of hands to push for an average/safe/non-HR swing outcome) means we lose.
In blackjack, the strategy most likely to leave you net ahead at the end of the day is to bet like a quarter (around there, Iām not sure exactly how much) of your money (so you leave open the possibility of splitting or doubling down) on one hand, and then leave regardless of the outcome. Youāve got close to a 47% chance of ending up ahead. Your odds drop from there with every hand you play.