Hashtag new year new me
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UNC is legit. So many weapons and ways to beat you. Also a very, very good defense, unlike the recent past.
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Iâd put at BC at 5 and bump the rest down one (road games are hard!), but I agree with everything else.
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Up 10 spots to #32 in the NET this morning. Miami down 10 spots to #72
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Weâre gonna beat Duke in Cameron. Reece owns Cameron indoor
https://x.com/sportscenter/status/1490872289402884098?s=46&t=bv9cjw4g0eEZorinzCXyaA
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So⌠if they call this Cameron indoor stadium⌠is there a Cameron outdoor stadium?
We donât match up badly with UNC at all. Minor/Buchanan on Bacot. Dunn on Ingram. Beekman on Davis. Rohde/Groves/Murray on Ryan. McKneely on Cadeau. Last one scares me a little â but the pack has been much more sound the last four weeks than it has at any point over the course of the season.
Get back on transition D, donât get caught going under screens, no cheap fouls, find a body on the defensive glass.
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With UNC having a smaller, quicker backcourt, we could see more Harris with Beekman than usual.
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UNC is probably our toughest game. We donât play them great under Hubert and this UNC team is excellent
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Guessing the officiating will change in JPJ against UNC with the ACC reg season on the line, but we will beat them if the officiating is like last night and NCSU, VT, ND, etc.
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Written before the NET update this morning (but I donât think it would change the blurb much); we are in the âWork to Doâ category but with a blurb that is basically âgood job guys, youâre doing great.â
Also, nice nugget here on how the committee looks at the teamsheet:
In response to a reader conversation about strength of record, and whether or not Bubble Watch should emphasize its use proactively (versus interpreting what metrics we think the committee cares about), NCAA Director of Media Coordination/Statistics David Worlock popped in with this:
âFor what itâs worth, SOR is absolutely on the team sheet and part of the committeeâs evaluation of teams (and generally carries more weight than SOS because, as James pointed out, SOS is baked in to the NET and other metrics).â
SOR is ESPNâs resume metric:
ESPNâs Strength of Record takes strength of schedule a step further by accounting for how a team actually did against its schedule. Unlike BPI, which accounts for how the game was won, Strength of Record simply cares about the difficulty of a teamâs schedule and the result (win or loss).
For example, last season, Kansas ranked first in Strength of Record entering the NCAA Tournament, and a typical Top 25 team would have had less than a 1 percent chance to go 30-4 against the Jayhawksâ schedule. (note from me: This was written in 2016)
Strength of Record answers the question of which teams deserve to make the NCAA Tournament based on their body of work. It correlates more closely with the actual committee rankings and seeding than BPI, but Strength of Record is far less accurate when making predictions.
Right now we are #27 in SOR: 2023-24 Resume Men's College Basketball Power Index - ESPN
Funnily enough, the NCAA basically has a SOR-style metric as one of the NET components, at least they said they did last time they talked about it.
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Field of 68 guysâŚ
- said last night was more about Miam being bad than Virginia
- bold prediction of the night was Miami doesnât make the tourney
- when asked to pick the next best team in the ACC outside Duke, Virginia, UNCâŚafter much deliberation one dude chose Virginia saying it was a tough pick
Had some nice things to say about TB but that was about it.
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The âmore about Team 1 than Team 2â take is one of my pet peeves; people say that with no logical consistency, it always just seems like it is an after-the-fact rationalization to set-up some hot take or to dismiss a team. I kinda assume we should always be taking away equal amounts of info about each team, except in special circumstances like injury.
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They must not have watched. Last night was 100% about our defense. We couldâve scored more too but called off the dogs the last 10 minutes. Miami may have deserved to make a few more shots but we wouldâve negated those if we had kept playing at 100%.
Thank you sir, this never gets old seeing you and your guys at Duke in the stands shocked that your analytics didnt work
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Yes there is ⌠at Washington and Jefferson College in Washington PA.
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I was curious after watching Cadeau struggle to shoot against Duke⌠he is shooting 0% from 3 in Acc games so far in 11 games - 0/12.
Was 4/13 in the non con.
But heâs still getting to the line 3 times a game and shooting 49% on twoâs on 6 attempts per game in Acc play.
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You really think home v UNC is tougher than road v Duke? Ehh I just think we are a completely different team at home. UNC just lost a road game at GT and our home atmosphere will be electric that day
Yeah Cadeau isnât even pretending to be a shooting threat but heâs so savvy getting to the rim even when defenders are sagging
Hey, letâs slow our roll. None of the games remaining are gimmes. Florida State on the road is going to be tough. Their length and quickness always gives us trouble. Letâs win that one first before daydreaming about Carolina and Duke.
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