šŸ€ UVa Men’s Basketball - February 2024

80.9% eFG during the streak (5-11 from 2, 15-23 from 3).

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Three-point attempts by Jake, Isaac, and Taine are great PPP. I’d rather we don’t have anyone else shooting threes, except that Reece needs to take a couple per game to keep defenses honest.

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Yep, we need a hard cap on Harris shooting. Only layups. I don’t want FTs, 3 balls, jumpers, floaters … none of that.

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Foto credit fm.creative on instagram

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photo credit: serum114@realtalk

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Boo this man!

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Another blind resume:

Team 1: 17-5 total. 3-4 road. 2–1 neutral. 12-0 home. 2-2 Q1. 3-2 Q2.

Team 2: 14-8 total. 1-4 road. 1-2 neutral. 12-2 home. 2-7 Q1. 2-1 Q2.

Team 1 is No. 42 and on the bubble. Team 2 is No. 22 and safely in. Make it make sense.

At some point you have to win away from home, and beat a good to decent team, one would think.

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Does Jake Groves win ACC Player of the Week?

  • Yes
  • No
0 voters

His competition is probably DJ Horne for NCSU. He averaged 25 in their two home wins.

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Probably Bacot, because UNC-Duke is the only game that mattered in the ACC this week.

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Everything in the ACC runs through Jacob Groves

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I see what you did there well played

Wins against Butler, Indiana State and Baylor.

Worst loss is JMU which is 66 in NET. Close losses to top 15ish teams and no true absolute blowouts.

It’s dumb, I agree. But their wins are better. And their losses, while more of them, are probably all ā€œbetterā€ than our losses.

In WAB rankings, Team 1 is #34, Team 2 is #46…

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But 20 spots? 2-7 vs Q1 is awful, and 2-6 away from home awful too.

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Butler and Baylor are good wins. What is floating the sycamore’s NET? Good record sure but I don’t see great wins on their resume. I just get very confused how some teams seem to game the NET but we never seem to be able to.

Baylor is 15. Indiana State 23. Butler one spot above our A&M win.

But generally their Big 10 wins > than our ACC wins. They had close losses to Duke, Arizona, Illinois. Acceptable losses to Wiscy and even Northwestern / Nebraska.

Their adjusted offense is 100+ spots better than ours. Defense only slightly worse.

We had the doors beaten off of us by Wiscy and Wake which are not great Q1 losses. But doors beaten off by NC State, Memphis and ND which are all really bad losses. And an offense that is in the 100s of efficiency rating.

Think objectively Michigan State has had the better season to be honest. Our performance states we would have performed worse with a similar schedule. Hard to stomach and it’s honestly as an unsexy comparison as they can be.

The committee will punish us all and give us a 7-10 Michigan State - UVA matchup.

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I’d be ok with that. I think we would play them tough. Might not win it but would be happy to be in the tournament in the underdog role.

With these blind team comparisons that seem to make no sense, I expect the most common culprit is margin of victory. NET is confusing but a large part of it is an efficiency metric, which isn’t captured in W-L records.

The second most common culprit is probably that not all Quad X games are equal. Especially in quads 2 and 3.

Anyway, those blowouts are what’s dragging us down.

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https://x.com/recruitsnews/status/1753876773828198556?s=20

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I don’t want to say ā€œI told you soā€ because I am not happy about being right. BUT, I posted after the first game that FT shooting was going to be an issue for us, and I was dismissed by people who told me it was fine…only Dunn…we were going to be fine.

It nearly cost us the game on Saturday and I don’t know if it is fixable at this point. Maybe. Above my pay grade.