I agree that the national college hoops folks (who donāt follow us that closely) over-emphasize the NIL thing when it comes to our post-natty struggles, and even if we just zoom in to this year. I think the bigger issue as @Hooandtrue and others point out was a general downturn in HS recruiting (missing on targets, missing on evals, etc.) that we seem to be past ⦠(hopefullyā¦).
I also think a lack of continuity has hurt us, too, but thatās probably mostly a knock-on effect of some of the recruiting struggles / missed evals. But itās also probably partly a result of the transfer rule changes.** (One thing I donāt think is a significant factor is NIL for retaining guys we already have; didnāt seem to be a major issue for guys leaving, though a little monetary incentive canāt hurt, I suppose)
But the NIL stuff is a factor, I think, too. Folks keep asking what guys we missed out on because of NIL? But thatās like asking me which specific megayachts or Caribbean islands I havenāt bought because Iām not a billionaire. I mean ⦠all of them, right?
We needed a skilled, experienced actual post player on this team desperately. Right? Right. Now go back and look at all the ābest transfer listsā - Athletic, CBS, ESPN, whatever. You have to get pretty far to get to Jordan Minor. And the guys before him just werenāt in the cards. For various reasons, to be fair, but a biggie for many of them is that we donāt really play in the NIL-forward transactional recruiting game. (NIL is not the only issue we donāt get those guys, but Iād put it at #1).
And this one is less fair**, but given how this year has played out, and given that we have a senior PG and another likely / possible first rounder gone after this year, in retrospect, Iād have really liked to have a stud scoring guard/wing in the portal. But again, those guys tend to be pretty NIL forward.
** Less fair b/c when we were fishing, Dunn as a first rounder seemed fairly unlikely and Reece wasnāt even definitely coming back. Rhode made sense to me as a longer term playā¦
(in other words, the answer to @tlgoudyās question is āyesā)