🏈 Virginia at California, Saturday, 1 November 2025, 1545, ESPN2

Win and you’re in. As fair and straight forward as possible.

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CFP rankings this week too right?

The Simpsons GIF

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Yeah I mean I hope your right but our SOS is 85 while for example Vandy is 14, Missouri is 35… to put it quick I think this is going to benefit the SEC more than most want to see when it comes to rankings.

But @BDragon is right and like Jake said on the pod this week, there isn’t a world where UVA gets in without winning the ACC… just keep winning.

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If we manage to be in the top 10 before championship weekend, that hedges against a loss in the ACCCG if the Committee sticks to its precedent that CG losses don’t hurt teams so they’re not jumped by idle teams not playing in conference CGs.

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In that situation with our pass rush, I would bet heavily on getting the stop and winning. The most glaring weakness of our defense seems to be getting beat on deep passes but I think the pass rush wins the situation.

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we have a better best win than Mizzou and fewer losses, ESPN SOR has us five spots ahead, not to mention they don’t have their QB and play A&M this week so they’re probably out next week anyways. I’d be pretty surprised if they were ahead of us

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we are basically guaranteed to be in the projected bracket on Tuesday as the #4 conference champ though, what a time to be alive

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I think for that reason we aren’t going to crack the top 10 unless we win out and win the ACC lol

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Or win and take it out the committees hands.

Sports are meant to be bianary either you do or you don’t. The Hoos got themselves into a position where they control their own fate. Cant ask for more. 6 weeks 4 games 4 wins = playoff

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Yup every projection has hoos as conference champ and the 10 or 11 going on the road dec 19. Cant be too upset about that

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Off topic, but if a three loss Duke wins the ACC (which is not out of the question) do we think the G5 gets two bids (JMU + USF/Memphis) and the ACC gets shut out?

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Nah, each individual competition in sports is a binary win or loss yes, but season long standings and rankings are not. It’s always better to have more options and more routes to success than fewer.

That’s what those models were saying a few weeks back when they projected Duke would win the ACC about 15% of the time, but only make the playoff 8% of the time.

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Um, but for those options and routes to lead to success, you eventually need to win, right?

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You want routes to success that don’t depend solely on you winning every single game. Yes, you’d rather win every game and even then it might be out of your control (see FSU 2023). But you’d rather have a chance at making the playoff even if you lose the ACCCG, maybe on a fluke play or bad ref call.

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You’re pointing to weirdest and most egregious instance of college football shenanigans ever. It was so wild that it led to the college football playoffs expanding.

If Virginia wins out and get jobbed so badly that it leads to a system change, I guess we will have to learn to live with it, but winning the games is a better outcome.

herm GIF

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Lambeth’s point isn’t that he’s worried we’ll win out and get jobbed. (The mention of FSU was just a side note.) He’s saying it’s good to put yourself in a position where you can get into the playoffs even if you don’t win out.

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I’m not trying to obtuse, but I honestly don’t understand the argument being made.

The easiest path for Virginia to make the playoffs is to win the ACC.

The five highest ranked conference champions get in automatically. Granted, the CFP hasn’t released a ranking yet, but I’d find it hard to believe that a one-loss Virginia team that is ACC champion would be behind two G5 conference champions.

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For myself and every coach within my coaching fraternity if you gave them the choice

Multiple options/routes to a playoff birth

Control your own destiny.

They are all taking control your own destiny-however that looks.

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I mean, I thought it was obvious that while winning all of our games is the best way to make the playoff, it would also be great if we were ranked in the top 10 before the ACCCG so if we are 11-1 and lose that game, we can still get in the playoff. More potential roads to the playoff is better than fewer roads. I’m not sure why anyone’s arguing against that point?

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