Absolutely. We outgained them 450 to 263, were +2 on TOs, and were only ~20 yards behind on penalties. We âshouldâ have won that game by 20. Cal was lucky/we had execution problems, for it to be at all close.
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Just confirming that we are still a D-1 football program?
Thank god basketball season starts tomorrowâŚ.
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I feel like that tie breaker is making a mistake not having us tied with GT. Even if its considering NC State a âconference opponentâ for UVA because theyâre in-conference even though it wasnât a conference game, GT lost to them as well. We should be tied. Unless conference opponent winning % is also a consideration in 2-way ties as well as 3-way ties, because weâre ahead of them in that.
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Yeah, Missouri might be the most overrated team in the top 25. Their best win was on the road against 3-4 Auburn and the only .500 or better team theyâve beaten was 5-4 Kansas whoâs in a 3-way tie for 8th in the Big12. They blew out 3 really bad OOC opponents, lost narrowly to 2 good teams, and then had relatively close wins against 3 mediocre-to-bad P4 teams. Thatâs their whole season.
Tennessee has basically the same resume, except theyâve played 1 more good team to whom they lost narrowly, and one of their blow-out wins over a bad OOC opponent was against Syracuse instead of all being against FCS teams. They do still have an OOC game to play against New Mexico State, who I assume theyâll blow out. I think they may be the 2nd most overrated team in the top 25.
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This is assuming favorites win out, they would have tiebreaker over us by way of beating Duke who we would lose to.
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Oh, I see
I mean, it wouldnât be new to us.
Shot clock came in to the college game because of our ACCT game vs. Carolina.
Shot clock went from 35 to 30 because we were making basketball âugly.â
Three-point line expanded in 2020 to punish teams (particularly ours) using pack-the-paint defenses.
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The below screenshot of an article by Chris Vanninni of The Athletic is why the automatic path of winning the ACC is preferable to the nebulous âmultiple pathsâ to the playoffs. He spent the first portion of his column talking about how/why Louisvilleâs resume is better and why he has them ranked 10. If you want to read his thoughts, the link is here
People can (and will) poke holes in Virginiaâs playoff resume. Take the auto bid and there are no holes to poke.
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Louisville trailed BC and VT into the 2nd quarter and were in 1 score games with both teams halfway through the 4th quarter. They also needed 2nd half comebacks to beat JMU and Pitt. Our ACC and overall MOV is better than Louisville.
We did not trail against UNC or Cal (or Louisville until overtime). If you looked at the amount or time spent trailing, I imagine weâre likely top 10 or maybe even top 5 nationally. Itâs really just the Wazzu game where we spent a meaningful amount of time trailing.
Coastal - 0 min
NCSU - 17 min
W&M - 0 min
Stanford - 0 min
FSU - 2 min
Louisville - 0 min (in regulation)
Wazzu - 38 min
UNC - 0 min
Cal - 0 min
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Is there someone suggesting we should lose a conference game so we see how the at-large path shakes out?
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I think the committee will keep us out of the top 11 because they donât want to be a in a position to give us a CFP bid if we win out but lose the ACCCG. The A&M-Georgia and TTU-BYU games still forthcoming make it hard for them to really box us out though.
The Louisville H2H makes it tricky too. There are not near enough locked in teams yet. The B1G likely only has 3 teams making, the SEC will have 4 make it, a max of 5 but that 5th would require a pretty insane set of circumstances from Texas imo.
Those last 5 spots go to the Big 12 auto bid, the Go5 autobid and the ACC autobid. So there are 2 at larges remaining between an ACCCG loser and a team on the couch, ND, and a likely 9-3 SEC team. Miami is doing the lordâs work staying above ND, and our H2H against Louisville keeps us up if we can maintain the same record as them.
Unfortunately there is no longer a path for 11-1 and sitting at home during the conference championship game. Fortunately however, the H2H against Louisville *I think* keeps us in with a loss in the ACCCG against GT pending some weirdness with the SEC.
Side note: does anyone remember the tool FiveThirtyEight (RIP) used to have where you could pick the winners of NFL games and it would churn out playoff brackets? I would kill for someone to code up one of those for CFB. Doesnât need to spit out the bracket, just show me where everyone would land record wise by keeping track of the schedules. Bonus points if it could sort out conference tie breakers. Can someone vibe code this??
Edit: https://www.profootballnetwork.com/college-football-playoff-predictor this kind of works.. Itâs a little glitchy and I donât quite trust it, but itâs close. Itâs making me feel pretty good about our chances! We just really need to win out the regular season!
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538 used to have one of those for CFB too, was so cool. ESPN kinda has that, but you can only edit one teamâs results at a time
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This one allows more inputs.. but also doesnât work great.
Our chances are pretty solid if we win against Duke is what it seems to come down to. I think we can lose the ACCCG if we make it there at 11-1.
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Hell yeah, and now weâre the most fraudulent 8-1 team in NCAA history!
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Better lucky than good sometimes⌠i think that should be the mantra for the season.
Also⌠you have to have a modicum of talent to be in the position to be lucky⌠soooo.
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Good teams find a way to win.
I think we have a good team, not great.
We didnât commit a penalty I think until the 4th qtr. conversely The Canes committed about 68 penalties on Saturday.
That is huge for us.
Wahoowa mofoâs!!!
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Not surprising seeing a few 7s on the line this morning. I think weâll see it get to 7.5 by the end of the week maybe an 8 in some places.
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On the spectrum of lose big, lose small, win small, win big, we are now squarely in the win small quadrant. Good progress but would love to see at least one more big win like we had against Stanford
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