TV: ESPN/2
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Regular season wins:
- 8
- 9
- 10
0
voters
Only GT controls their own destiny to the ACCCG. I think we generally fare well in the tiebreakers if we win at Duke and vs VT. Too many scenarios to model out right now so just win out. Go team!
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Stand up, dust yourself off and get back to work.
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https://twitter.com/stataliers/status/1987429105407566232?s=46
This person did a good job laying it out. Very likely in if we win out!
Itās a shame weāre just going to end the season 0-3 though
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Playoffstatus says that if we win out thereās a 33% chance of finishing 1st, 58% of 2nd and 9% chance of 3rd.
I buy that Twitter post about the GT-UVA-SMU tie scenario needing 7/8 specific game results to leave us out, but that seems like a less than 9% chance. Then again, I think not having 7/8 of those outcomes not occurring would require at least 1 upset. I dunno. It only matters if we win both games, so Iām not going to spend time modeling out a ton of scenarios that wonāt happen until at least after the Duke game.
AT LEAST 7 of these 8 results would need to happen:
clemson > louisville
miami > nc state
wake > unc
nc state > florida state
miami > virginia tech
wake > duke
nc state > unc
miami > pitt
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Anyone hear an update on Morris? Just based on the injury, Iām assuming heās out for Duke, but I havenāt seen an official report.
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Havenāt heard anything yet, but Iād be shocked if he suits up for Saturday.
Hoping Iām wrong
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Well the things that probably give us the best chances are outside of the 7/8 games. SMU needs to beat Louisville and GT needs to beat Pitt. Both of those are far from a given.
If the ACC is smart they will rig the Duke game in our favor because Duke winning the ACCCG would be a catastrophe for the conference.
I also think FSU is fairly likely to beat NC State, Louisville-Clemson is a crapshoot, and Duke should be favored over Wake? UNC could mess around and beat Wake too imo.
Iād say less than 5% chance if we win out we donāt play for the ACCCG.
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I think we have to acknowledge that the offensive was stagnating even with Morris at QB. The biggest difference I saw with Kaelin was pocket presence. His fumbles came because he held the ball too long. He was undecisive about when to scramble or to run, and even when he decided, he didnāt seem fully committed to it (other than his 50ish-yard sprint down the sideline). If he does play, I hope he has a little more confidence and aggressiveness.
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Totally agree. I hope some of that would calm down with a week of practice with the 1s. I got yelled at in the game thread for saying a lot of the fumbles/sacks were his fault, but they really were. He was holding on for homeruns for wayyyy too long.
I mean Iām obviously open to blaming Des for it if it was coaching that led to that, but Iām pretty sure it was Kaelin.
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Iām thinking that thereās more scenarios that work against us because if the only way weāre out of the ACCCG given we win out is SMU over UL plus at least 7/8 of those game results, that doesnāt seem like nearly 9%. But maybe Iām wrong since UL over SMU would eliminate the 3 team tie possibility and 7-1 GT already beats us in the tiebreakers, so we couldnāt fare worse against a 7-1 Pitt.
Maybe SMU wins the 3 team tie with us and Pitt and Pitt wins vs us so we want to avoid that too? Not sure
Whatever. 2 wins is the most important thing and Iāll take our 90+% chances from there.
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I blame Des for the lack of prep that Kaelin had. Itās been obvious for months that it was possible Chandler might miss time and Kaelin should have been better prepared.
I agree with @newjerseyhoo and you that, Kaelinās lack of pocket awareness and terrible ball security are fundamental faults of him going back to backyard football and not remaining sound. That was the most disappointing to see for me.
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The lack of any downfield throws also suggests he was kept on a short leash, which might be another reason he felt hesitant. (On an unrelated note: Why did we rush that last play? We had about 25 seconds left. One way or another, it was clearly going to be the last play of the game. I guess maybe they were trying to catch Wake unprepared? But I think being a litle more deliberate about the playcall and getting set and deciphering the defense might have led to a better outcome.)
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Said that out loud in a box around some prominent people in real time as the ball was snapped. āWent too fastā
Iām assuming the goal was to catch Wake napping, but it was a 1 route play that never had a shot and disappointing to see as the go-to play to win a game. I also donāt like the sped up play when you have essentially first yr in his first game and you make things more complex by speeding him up.
I understand that when Morris went down that changed things, but Des has to be more prepared and have an alt plan that puts the backup in a position to feel comfortable and hopefully make some play. As I said earlier, itās not like Morris missing time was an out of the blue option.
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It was possible to get a 1st down without scoring, but I guess since the clock stops on a 1st down we wouldāve had time left anyway. Plus the play we called wouldnāt get a 1st without scoring anyway.
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Fully expect a lot of 8 -9 men fronts Saturday
With guaranteed blitzes on any down over 4 to yards to go. An away crowd should not be a factor.
Control the lines and we win the game, says Captain Obvious!!
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Thatās exactly what it will be. Pack it in, blitz early and often make the young man at QB try to beat you.
Somehow the defense is going to need to raise their level of play. Need to find a way to force a TO and preferably put some points on the board.
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Heās in the fire now lmao. I thought daniel looked āokayā one of the fumbles was throwing motion and due to pocket awareness.
Morris coming back after makes me skeptical. When we got concussions we were instructed to stay away from extreme lights and noises. I also didnāt have uva doctors so times probably changed.
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Iām so puzzled on our Oline. Not sure if guys lack the confidence now or if weāre hiding injuries on starters.
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