If we run the table, we should be 10 or 11, maybe 12, depending on Pitt-ND going into the ACCCG. Oklahoma and Texas should lose again and weâll pass them. Might pass the loser of BYU-TTU.
Itâll be interesting to see whether the ACC runner up or the Big 12 runner up or both or neither make the playoff.
That notre dame spot is insane to me. Their best wins are losses and a win at home against #19 USC. We have a win over #15 in their building. Utah has a win over an unranked team and some nice losses.
These teams are all better than us, but their resumes arenât!
I think we could get 8th if everything breaks right. Texas and Oklahoma lose down the stretch, ND loses to Pitt, BYU and TTU split this weekend and the rematch in the Big 12 championship game. And weâd still need to pass Utah.
The Utah and ND spots are a killer for our at large chances if we make and lose the ACCCG. Both those teams should win out. Texas has a gauntlet so theyâll drop, Oklahoma probably drops one more, so that gets us to 12 but you need to be 10 to get in. I donât think theyâll drop loser of BYU-TTU too far unless itâs bad, and they wonât drop anyone above that for a loss far enough to matter.
Maybe theyâll give us a bump with a Duke win? But them not being ranked makes that hard
Our path is ACC champion or bust barring some unlikely things. Those Notre Dame and Utah spots just donât make any sense to me.
The CFP is so beyond my preseason expectations, I wonât even be mad if we lose the ACCCG and donât get in. If we get to 10 in the regular season and one is against VT, 2025 will be my fondest memory of UVa football outside of the 1989 & 1995 ACC champ seasons.
Lots of moving pieces obviously, but it basically kicks to Duke vs. winner of Louisville-SMU or GT-Pitt.
Louisville has to play Clemson and Pitt has to play Miami so itâs not even that clean cut.. GT and SMU have the clearest paths if they win those games.