Our NCSOS is better than Iowa State’s and Nebraska’s but we’re getting dinged, and they are not.
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Playing in Florida, not vs. Florida. Although the latter scenario is looking likely is we stay on the 4 line and make S16.
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They both have 2 top 10 kenpom wins (we have 0 - closest is Louisville sans Brown at 16, Miami at 29 after that), better metrics and similar WAB. We don’t really have anything over either of them.
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People say this a lot ‘predictives matter more for seeding’ but it is factually untrue
How the different team sheet metrics correlated with seeding for at-large level (11 or better) teams last year:
WAB .95
Resume Avg .94
SOR .91
KPI .87
NET .86
KenPom .85
Predictive Avg .82
T-Rank .80
BPI .78
I think he may mean they matter more for seeding than they do for selection, which is probably true, but resume is still more important for both
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Will be an interesting case test for this year among several teams.
UVa’s NCAAT record, by time zone:
Eastern 26-14 (4-0 in ATL, 4-0 in Raleigh, 3-1 in Kentucky)
Central 6-5 (combined 4-0 in Nashville & Minny)
Mountain 2-4 (0-3 in SLC!)
Pacific 1-2 (1-1 in the Big Sac)
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I’m at like 70% chance we get a 4, 20% chance we get a 3, 10% chance we get screwed and land a 5 right now.
Probably need to shave 5% out from all of them for events outside of that range because sometimes weird shit happens, but that’s where I’d put things right now.
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WOW! Watch out, TB, somebody is coming after your record! LOL 
And our other Mountain loss was in The Pit in ‘83, which counts for about 5 emotionally.
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I really hope you’re right. I’d much rather be a 3 than a 4, but I don’t think it’s that simple. It will depend on what happens to Bama, Nebraska, Purdue, etc. We could end up as a 3 if we make the ACc final, but it’s not a given.
Odom is gonna offer him a Malik Thomas bag
So that’s 90% we get a 4 right?
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This is his 7th year of college lol he should be out of eligibility after this season
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It’s probably a tiebreaker in that if they’re looking at 2 teams with very similar resumes, then they look to predictives.
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Tell that to Chandler Morris.
He’s played in 27+ games in 5 of the seasons…
The predictives should matter more for seeding, but every year you get some high seed stuck playing a team that’s much better than their seed. OMG, how did this crazy upset happen?!
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That’s where the F4 was but we lost to NC State in Ogden, Utah.
I think that’s too pessimistic. If the season ended today, I think we’re 50-50 for a 3.
Keith Friel walked so this guy could run
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