For what its worth this is how I had the ACC this morning
Duke - 1 (1 overall)
Virginia - 4 (14)
Louisville - 6 (22)
North Carolina - 6 (23)
Miami - 7 (27)
Clemson - 8 (31)
NC State - 10 (40, 7th to last team in)
SMU - 11 (45, 2nd to last team in)
Stanford - 11 (46, last team in - I know, I was surprised myself, there are no good options)
Virginia Tech - 2nd team out
Cal - 5th team out
13 seeds - Liberty, Northern Iowa, Utah Valley, Hofstra
It was a joke since he said 4 twice.
I didnât initially notice this actually.. meant 3 lol
If UVA makes the final with wins over NC State and Miami and a loss to Duke they will be a 3 seed. If they also beat Duke they will be a 2 seed. The one big knock on UVA is lack of elite wins and if they suddenly get Duke on a neutral then I think they will get the seed the resume demands.
I say 5% 2, 40% 3, 50% 4, 5% 5.
Maybe but probably not that simple. If other teams like Bama or Purdue or Kansas go on runs to win their respective tournaments, theyâre gonna get rewarded too, maybe more than us given the assumed win quality.
Not many teams competing for the 3 line are going to add 2 Q1 wins this week. Gonzaga flat out cannotâŚthey have at most 1 team with a pulse left to play. Also Purdue and Nebraska play in the B1G QF and I think UVA would pass Nebraska in the event that UVA goes to the finals (assuming 2 Q1 wins) and Nebraska goes 0-1.
Not guaranteed UVA gets 2 Q1 opponents though so need to root for chalk to win out.
I donât think theyâd ding Nebraska too much for losing to Purdue. The committee has a history of not being overly reactionary to conference tourney results. If you believe Nebraska is a comfortable 3 seed today, I doubt a loss to another potential 3 seed changes much.
Again, I would love for that to be the case, I just think thatâs presuming too much. It could be true, but itâs not a given. If Bama, Nebraska, Iowa St, Gonzaga win their respective conference championships, weâre probably not leapfrogging any of them. Now, if we beat UNC or Duke in the title game, Iâd be shocked if weâre not a 3. Anything short of that, we could still be a 4.
I think Purdue losing in the QF makes it possible for UVA (or TTU or Kanas) to pass them
UVa should be ahead of Gonzaga NOW, and adding 2 Q1 wins in the ACCT should make that gap larger even if Gonzaga gets their 1 in the final.
If all those things happen UVA should also leap Purdue who will have lost in the QFs.
For those that think weâre a 4 seed, who do you have as 3s? TTU lost their last two games. Purdue had a rough finish to their season. Gonzaga had an easier schedule than we did? Kansas was 3-4 in their last 7 games. Nebraska just lost by 20 to UCLA. Alabama is good but did have 8 losses.
With that said, perhaps region is more important than 3 vs. 4 seed.
Iowa State, Nebraska, Purdue, Alabama are the 3s on bracket matrix (with Gonzaga also ahead of us on the 4 line). Questions are whether they ding Bama for the Bediako situation and whether they ding the Zags for the Braden Huff injury.
Iâd just like to make the Sweet 16, so our 13 and 5/12 matchups are most important to me, but if you want to dream about making a really deep run Iâd say getting to the 3 line is a must. The four 1 seeds are vastly superior to anyone else IMO (and predictive metrics agree).
I agree they should be, but Iâm not convinced the committee will see it that way.
Strong disagree. Difference in 14v13, 6v5, and 2v1 all feel pretty stark this year.
I also still wonder if they will ding TTU for Toppin at all
UVA has tended to be rewarded for gaudy ACC records in the past. I think finishing 2nd in the ACC will be worth something.
I just heard a bracketologist on Field of 68 go on a long digression about how our resume metrics look good, but when you dig deeper we really arenât that good because we havenât beat anyone. Therefore, he said, he would never move us to a 3 seed.
I guess we just need to go on a run, beat Duke, and win the tournament. Iâm so tired of âexpertsâ constantly running us down. Been hearing it for over a decade.
Gonzaga was 12 and we were 16 in the committeeâs reveal two weeks ago. Like it or not they arenât getting punished for losing @ Saint Maryâs, so the question is if home wins vs Miami and NC State close that gap.
With that logic Gonzaga shouldnever be higher th a a 4. Ever.
Gonzaga really stacks their non-con though. They played Michigan, Alabama, Kentucky, UCLA, etc. And Saint Maryâs has figured out how to game the NET better than anyone in the country, so theyâre a quad 1 win even at home. If Gonzaga wins the WCC title, theyâll likely be a 3. I think they should be a 4 or 5, but thatâs probably wishful thinking.