šŸ€ 2025-2026 Bracketology

KenPom very prompt this evening. Up to 13th, just behind Vandy.

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I’d bet we’ve been locked in as a 3 since before this game. Forget all these bracket ā€œexpertsā€. Echo chamber…

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Huge jump this time of year

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Bracket Matrix is either not an echo chamber or such a successful echo chamber that they deafen the committee every year. Their concensus is an excellent predictor.

I just looked at the last five years. The consensus final Bracket Matrix was perfect on top three seeds twice. The other three times they nailed all the top 2 seeds, and they missed one three seed (each got a 4).

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Eh not exactly. The median score is about 85% of the maximum potential and some points are awarded for being within 1 seed of the actual seed.

Huge win. The 4 seed was essentially aggregating the resume results with the metric/efficiency results. Bumping up to 13th in Ken Pom nullifies the argument that a 4 seed is a ā€œbalancedā€ placement for us

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Almost all of the missed points is because they miss a lot in the 5-11 range. Go look at their final brackets the last five years, and how they do on top 4 seeds: The Bracket Project - Ranking the Bracketologists

So less than 50% of the time, they got the correct 3 seeds?

cmon u Rebels!

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So how much do the quads matter since they changed emphasis last season? Because there are currently only 10 teams with 9 or more Q1 wins and our win % is the best out of the 9 win teams (aka best outside of the 1 seeds)

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Not sure what it was before that game but we’re 13 on Torvik as well, just behind Texas Tech. Resume = high 3 almost 2 seed and predictives = top 4 seed I’d be pretty disappointed if we don’t get a 3 seed barring getting ran out the building tomorrow.

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Let’s goooooooo

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We went from 19/18 in Pom/torvik to lucky number 13/13. Not sure where to find BPI / when it updates

I’m letting myself believe a 3 is possible with a loss tomorrow night … but belief and hope are dangerous

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I don’t know how you could look at our resume even if we lose tomorrow and put us on the 4 line

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Nah, let’s just go win it

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Bama is about to lose!

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The other question is if the committee is still paying attention

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Bama bout to drop one to a 14-19 Ole Miss team. Lol love it.

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Looks like BPI updates all at once, over night. How 2015 or so

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We’re gonna pass Nebraska and Bama in brackets released in the morning

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