In 19-20, we ran a lot of spread ball screen with Kihei. Basically a high ball screen w/o much movement (other than the two in the screen action — right?). The prior year we ran that continuity thing that featured more movement (more patterned like the traditional sides we ran in Harris’s day).
Maybe after Reece went out, we ran some spread? I have not rewatched and didn’t notice in real time, so I could be way off.
it’s gotta relate to the fact that it DOES seem to manufacturer corner 3’s when you do it opposite the ball and then the offense gets the defense rotating and quickly works the ball back? Feel like JMU had a number of those last night. We seem to get a lot of looks in a similar way when we drive baseline on the other side and throw those long baseline passes.
feels like the answer for Kadin would be for us to park a shooter there (in theory, McKneely, but Franklin as well) and hit a few, then that player stops cheating in and Kadin should have more room to operate. but this requires we hit those open 3’s at a high clip, which has been a challenge the past few games.
I think part of it is that in the 2nd half, they were looking to find the post mismatch, and so were really only running actions that got Jayden or BVP in post position. TB mentioned that he thought they may have gotten too focused on this down the stretch.
They also have been running this post duck-in continuity ball screen offense that Gonzaga has used prominently in the recent past, but that has a little more movement from the other perimeter players when they the ball gets reversed to the big at the top of the key.
So I rewatched a few possessions and it’s not spread. We are running something like a 5 out / 4 out, but we are incorporating on and off ball screens, so for my little brain, it’s all a little . But the 5 out movement was getting a little stagnant last night.
And fwiw, we fed Kadin twice in the first 2 minutes out of halftime, so CLEARLY an emphasis. He missed a little hook, and he mishandled a pass from Kihei. Shed was just a bit off last night.
I think that’s something that is difficult to accept but it’s it’s one we have to learn to accept as fans. Shed had a bad night, could they have run some different actions or presented better passes into the post? Of course. Shed could have also presented himself as a better target and made himself more available.
Whatever the reason he just seemed a bit out of it/off throughout the night, even on defense. It felt like he fell into some old habits from his first few years on the court. That can happen, we have to remember this is a leap year for Shed but that doesn’t mean he’s going to play at the new level every game. He’s not there yet.
How did JMU drop in the NET rankings after that? haha If that hurt their rating they’re gonna be in for a heck of a tumble when they start dropping conference games.
I’m sure it is something weird like one of their Quad 3 wins dropped to Quad 4 win last night as well… or who knows… their loss that is showing up in Quad 4 may have been Quad 3 before last night…
The other component is Team Value Index and it’s basically whether you won or lost and where the game was played. So JMU gets dinged because they lost, and dinged because their efficiency went down.
Tbh, I can’t figure out if they’re adjusting efficiency or not, but if they are, it seems to be a bit less than Kenpom or Torvik
I wouldn’t read too much into those minor NET changes. Looks to me like the NET is still making early-season adjustments based on what past opponents are doing, etc. Minor movements are appearing all over the place at this time of year.
Plus there’s what everyone else is doing. For example, Iona had a great win last night and shot from 50 to 33. That alone dropped JMU and everyone around them by 1 spot.
Yeah, I think you’ve both hit on what’s happening here. It’s still a pretty small sample size, and the game was a BIG outlier compared to the rest of JMU’s season. But, as you point out, this game didn’t happen in a vacuum. Other teams are playing and moving up and down in comparison to everyone else.
I think it is the Team Value Index, not efficiency, that dinged them. They went up a little in Torvik and KenPom, which are pure efficiency rankings, so I think the NET is a little too heavily influenced by the did you win or lose component. I did read an article the NCAA has on their website that says that efficiency is adjusted, fyi.