(posting this here b/c itās a bit ponderous and want to keep the preseason thread open for those āstreaming warsā flare-ups)
Listening to that STL pod today. You should all go and listen because itās interesting b/c the two LRA alums are obviously smart kids and know their hoops, and the host was good, too.
But an idea came up whose logic I think is a bit off, at least IMO. Iām not attributing this to anyone, and itās strawman-ish, admittedly. The idea is this:
- The top 6 guys will stay the top 6, more or less, but will only lose a few minutes
- One of the main reasons we were bad last year is that if a starter wasnāt playing well, letās say Armaan Franklin, then we really didnāt have any options, so if he was streaky, and went 0-7 from 3, were just kind of stuck. Hence so many bad losses.
- Whereas this year, we will have a lot of options behind that starter, so rather than going 0-7, he will go for 0-3, and then we can bring in a guy who can hit some jumpers, instead (presumably Isaac M.).
I feel like this theory is a bit of a contortion, logic-wise to pay homage to (1) what Tony was trying to do conceptually with the lineups last year, (2) the fact that hey, weāre the ādevelopment placeā so guys will just get better by being here longer, and finally (3) doesnāt really start to grapple with the problems of brining in younger guys. And also, (4) itās a way to assert that the problem with last year was guys that are gone (Kody, Malachi, Igor, Carson) without directly asserting it, and (5) kind of ignores that one of the guys being implicitly relied on in the analysis was here last year (Taine) and Tony more or less never tried to implement the theory being relied upon.
My basic view is if you think the problem with last yearās team was that we didnāt have guys that were good at shooting, or ā stated differently ā had guys that were streaky and couldnāt be relied upon, whereas this year, we will have guys that can be relied upon ⦠THEN why would we playing the former guys more minutes and the latter guys less minutes?
I just think that a bench-led theory of improvement seems incorrect to me. If the bench is better, shouldnāt they play more minutes than the guys who need to be replaced? **
** The obvious and underthought response will be āDefenseā but remember that the bench-led theory posits that the bench guy will be playing defense as well as offense for those minutes where heās playing
Basically, if you think this team is going to be more than marginally better than last year, I think the theory should be that we are replacing someone in the core 6. (Which is my theory of improvement, but my theory also acknowledges more growing pains early on this year, because weād implicitly be undercutting the āall that experienceā talking points).